Between FL and TX, Which US Senate seat are the Democrats are most likely to win in 2024?

Debbie Mucarsel Powell(FL) or Colin Allred(TX) ?
Democrats occupy all of the Biden states except OH(Brown-D),MT(Tester-D),and WV(Manchin-D).
29)CA(Schiff-D vs Porter-D) Democrat vs Democrat General Election.
30)HI(Hirono-D)
31)VT(Sanders-I)
32)MD(Alsobrooks-D)
33)MA(Warren-D)
34)RI(Whitehouse-D)
35)NY(Gillibrand-D)
36)CT(Murphy-D)
37)DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
38)MN(Klobuchar-D)
39)NM(Heinrich-D)
40)ME(King-I)
41)WA(Cantwell-D)
42)NJ(Menendez-D)
43)VA(Kaine-D)
44)PA(Casey-D)
45)MI(Slotkin-D)
46)NV(Rosen-D)
47)WI(Baldwin-D)
48)AZ(Gallego-D)
If things go well for Democrats.
49)OH(Brown-D)
50)MT(Tester-D)
51)TX(Allred-D)
52)FL(Mucarsel Powell-D)