US Senate seats the Democrats will win in 2024 if it is like 2016?

AZ(Gallego-D)29
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)30
CT(Murphy-D)31
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)32
HI(Hirono-D)33
ME(King-D)34
MD(Alsobrooks-D)35
MA(Warren-D)36
MI(Slotkin-D)37
MN(Klobuchar-D)38
NV(Rosen-D)39
NJ(Kim-D)40
NM(Heinrich-D)41
NY(Gillibrand-D)42
PA(Casey-D)43
RI(Whitehouse-D)44
VT(Sanders-I)45
VA(Kaine-D)46
WA(Cantwell-D)47
WI(Baldwin-D)48
These states are the states Biden-D is going to win in 2024.
If it is like 2020
MT(Tester-D)49
OH(Brown-D)50


In 2016, the same political party won the states US Presidential and US Senate Election.
In 2020, the incumbents are personally popular.