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2018/2020 AZ US Senate Election- Gabby Giffords/Mark Kelly.
If Gabby Giffords-D had not been shot, would she be serving in the US Senate?
Giffords-D would have ran for the US Senate in 2012 against Flake, the 2012 US Senate Race in AZ would have been a Tossup with Giffords-D with the slight advantage. Giffords-D would have won re-election in 2018 against McSally-R.
If Giffords is serving in the US Senate, Kyrsten Simena would be the likely Democratic Nominee for the 2020 AZ Special US Senate Election against McSally-R.