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realmirage

(2,117 posts)
Sun Sep 18, 2016, 11:36 AM Sep 2016

Recently polls very similar to Romney/Obama, looks fine for Hillary

If you look at the polls in September 2012, the numbers were almost identical to what they are now. And *mysteriously* in late September the Fox poll started to trend upward for the republican and stayed that way until the election, just as it's starting to do now. But one of the most accurate pollsters in 2012 was Abc/WashPost, and their last poll had Hillary up 51/43.

After September Romney was actually pulling ahead in many polls (not in the abc poll though), as Trump has started to. In the end it was all bullshit. Obama had it.

Trump's major Achilles heel all along is the same as Romney's. He tops out at around 46-47 but averages around 42. That's actually worse than Romney.

Maybe in my next post I'll look at the 2012 polls in the swing states.

I'm not worried.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html#polls

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Recently polls very similar to Romney/Obama, looks fine for Hillary (Original Post) realmirage Sep 2016 OP
I love your calm, Control-Z Sep 2016 #1
I just pay attention to the facts realmirage Sep 2016 #4
Thanks for this. DesertRat Sep 2016 #2
spread the word realmirage Sep 2016 #5
I sure am, especially as a Democratic party volunteer DesertRat Sep 2016 #7
Thanks for this Tommy2Tone Sep 2016 #3
Don't worry. Plenty of time to go realmirage Sep 2016 #6
Thanks @realmirage Tommy2Tone Sep 2016 #9
K&R! DemonGoddess Sep 2016 #8

DesertRat

(27,995 posts)
2. Thanks for this.
Sun Sep 18, 2016, 06:04 PM
Sep 2016

I'm not worried either. But, I'll still be working hard on the GOTV effort, especially for our congressional candidates.

DesertRat

(27,995 posts)
7. I sure am, especially as a Democratic party volunteer
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 09:59 PM
Sep 2016

I've been phone banking which always lifts my spirits. I'm in a red area, but many people that we call are excited to vote for Hillary, and as one woman told me on the phone today, "we can't let that awful Trump anywhere near the White House!" Amen!

Tommy2Tone

(1,307 posts)
3. Thanks for this
Mon Sep 19, 2016, 08:37 PM
Sep 2016

I have been a state of near depression with the polls showing the worse Trump acts the better his numbers. I feel better now.

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