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mahatmakanejeeves

(61,041 posts)
Wed May 11, 2022, 06:56 AM May 2022

Stock futures rise ahead of inflation data

Yahoo Finance

Stock market news live updates: Stock futures rise ahead of inflation data

Emily McCormick · Reporter
Wed, May 11, 2022, 7:45 AM·5 min read

U.S. stock futures gained Wednesday morning, as investors looked ahead to a key report on the state of inflation in the U.S. to help clarify the path forward for monetary policy. ... Contracts on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each added more than 1%, with both indexes looking to recoup losses from the past week. Dow futures gained more than 250 points, or 0.9%. Treasury yields declined, and the benchmark 10-year yield dropped more than 6 basis points to dip well below 3%.

A key datapoint due for release Wednesday morning will be the Labor Department's April Consumer Price Index (CPI), offering an update on price increases across the U.S. economy. Economists expect the report will show some deceleration in inflation rates and confirm that March was the peak for price gains this year. ... However, consensus economists are still looking for an 8.1% year-over-year rise in headline inflation, which would still be close to March's more than 40-year high of 8.5%. And much of that deceleration will likely come as a result of a moderation in the typically volatile energy category, as energy prices have eased somewhat after spiking immediately following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in late February.

The latest inflation data will help to inform how far the Federal Reserve will have to go on raising interest rates and tightening monetary policies in order to rein in rising prices. Uncertainty about the Fed's next moves — and about whether these moves will bring down inflation while avoiding triggering a recession — has stirred up heightened volatility across risk assets, bringing the S&P 500 down by nearly 17% from its recent record high from Jan. 3. Stocks briefly turned lower Tuesday afternoon after Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said she saw the case for raising interest rates by 50 basis points at the next two Fed meetings, while leaving the door open to a potentially even larger 75 basis point rate hike.

"We're going to see more volatility. This is not going to be an easy path forward as we still have a lot of unknowns," Omar Aguilar, Schwab asset management CEO and chief investment officer, told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday. "There's still a lot of uncertainty in many parts, not just in the macroeconomic and the economic structure, but also just geopolitically, things that haven't been resolved, like the war in Ukraine as well as just the COVID situation in China."

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