Inflation was higher in metros with greater 2020 Trump support

Metros that had more votes for Trump in 2020 have experienced higher inflation since then. Here’s why and what that means for this election.

By Alyssa Fowers
September 5, 2024 at 8:25 a.m. EDT

Inflation is a top issue for Americans this election. It’s also been worse in redder metros, according to a Washington Post analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

Areas with greater support for Trump in 2020 have faced higher inflation since then among the 21 metropolitan areas — major cities and their outlying suburbs — where BLS tracks price data. The trend highlights a persistent challenge for Democratic candidates this fall.

The most drastic price growth was seen in metros along the Sun Belt, where the Harris campaign has opened a new path to electoral college victory.

Inflation reached historic highs nationwide over the last four years as the pandemic and foreign conflict threw wrenches into the supply chain, as well as housing and labor markets. Overall, prices rose by 20 percent between January 2021 and June 2024, compared to 4.6 percent during the corresponding period of 2017 to 2020. But inflation was particularly pronounced in several swing states.

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By Alyssa Fowers
Alyssa Fowers is a graphics reporter for The Washington Post.follow on X @alyssafowers