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mahatmakanejeeves

(60,295 posts)
Fri Jul 28, 2023, 03:03 PM Jul 2023

Amtrak may have to choose frequency over national service

National links: Amtrak may have to choose frequency over national service

LINKS By Jeff Wood (Contributor) July 28, 2023



Image by Rob Pegoraro licensed under Creative Commons.

Amtrak’s ridership versus coverage problem. Lyft wants out of bikeshare. Predictable city branding.

Amtrak’s ridership versus coverage problem: As Amtrak prepares to receive more federal funding than it has in decades, Jarrett Walker writes that Amtrak’s policy rhetoric is the perfect example of coverage versus ridership decisions that need to be made. To cover the contiguous 48 states, Amtrak would have to spread itself thin to serve each state, whereas focusing on ridership would require concentrating service. The two can’t exist at the same time even when Congress wants service for everyone and Amtrak to be profitable. (Jarrett Walker | Human Transit)

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Amtrak’s Endless Ridership-vs-Coverage Problem

Posted on July 23, 2023 in General, Language

Amtrak is about to see more Federal funding than it’s had in decades, and is finally in the position to talk about major growth. But their “Amtrak Connects US” vision document is worth reading to notice two things: They continue to face a conflict between ridership goals and coverage goals, and they don’t feel that it’s safe to talk about that openly.

To review:

• Ridership goals are served by concentrating good service where there are lots of people to benefit from it.

• Coverage goals are served by spreading service out so that you can say everyone got some, regardless of whether people ride.

Ever since I did the first scholarly paper on this in 2008, I’ve been helping transit agencies face this problem honestly and make clear decisions about it. Pretending that you are doing both just produces confusion and unhappiness, because these goals are mathematically opposite. They tell network designers to do opposite things. Rhetoric can paper over the problem but won’t resolve it.

For years, Congress has berated Amtrak for not being profitable (which would require ridership) while demanding that it run service to every corner of the country (coverage). The high-ridership thing for Amtrak to do, as the report makes clear, is to focus on improved frequency and travel time for trips of under 500 miles, a distance where rail service between city centers can effectively compete with flying between airports, and this in fact is what the plan recommends. But that means the improvements won’t be everywhere.

Yet when it comes to highest-level summary, the report seems pressured to de-emphasize its own recommendations. Here are the seven bullet points that form “Amtrak’s 15 Year Vision” (p9). I’ve labeled each with whether it refers to ridership or coverage.

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