Tight three-way race in Irish general election, RT exit poll suggests
The poll indicates Green Party first preference support stands at 4%; Labour at 5%; the Social Democrats at 5.8%; People Before Profit-Solidarity at 3.1%; and Independents at 12.7%, Independent Ireland 2.2% with others on 1.9%.
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In the 2020 Irish general election, Sinn Féin secured 24.53% first preference votes, while Fianna Fáil obtained 22.18% and Fine Gael got 20.86%.
The results from this poll set the scene for the official counting of votes which starts at 09:00 local time on Saturday and is expected to continue across the weekend.
It is possible that some of the 43 constituencies may not have a final result until the beginning of next week.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz9x9wn802ko
So probably not much change from last time - it'll depend on how transferred votes go, in each 3 to 5 member constituency:
The Republic of Ireland elects its government using a system of proportional representation known as the single transferable vote.
Voters will have the opportunity to rank candidates in their constituency in order of preference, marking their favourite with a number one, a number two beside their next choice and so on.
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Once a candidate receives the number of votes required, they are elected and any remaining ballots that are marked with them as first choice are transferred to the second ranked preferences.
Ballots continue to be transferred to the next usable preference until all of the seats in the constituency are filled with candidates who have reached the quota.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvg47jrgyvno