Creative Speculation
Related: About this forumwildbilln864
(13,382 posts)William Seger
(11,262 posts)Thanks, wildbill -- a metallurgist who doesn't understand that the force of gravity is straight down, or that unbraced columns buckle and break and that broken columns provide no support at all. On the topics of structural mechanics and physics, McGrade makes the same argument as Gage's other "experts": "I don't understand this, but it looks like a controlled demolition to me, so that's what it must be."
Unlike Gage's other "experts," however, McGrade at least tries to offer an excuse for ignoring actual experts, who not only understand those things but can explain them very well: Her excuse is that anyone who contradicts the conclusion she's apparently already jumped to about 9/11 must be lying to her. But take a closer look at the story she tells to support that excuse: Someone tried to sell her an engine that she didn't need; she looked under the hood for herself but couldn't find what was wrong; then apparently someone who understands engines told her she just needed a cam sensor. When I put that story in the context of the bullshit that Richard Gage is literally trying to sell, the lesson should be that if you don't really understand it then you should get a second opinion, and if it's different, then you should carefully consider the facts and logic before deciding who is right. But what you are really trying to tell us, wildbill, is that she should have just bought the engine because the person who was selling it was a mechanic. The lameness of McGrade's excuse for ignoring structural engineers and physicists, without actually understanding what they say, reveals the typical "truther" pattern of incomplete facts and faulty logic creating a feedback loop of spiraling delusions and paranoia. And furthermore, the hypocrisy in her "look under the hood" story is stunning.
McGrade has a BS in metallurgy, so we should expect at least a somewhat informed opinion about that subject. It's surprising, then, that her first "smoking gun" is the iron-rich microspheres. In the first place, she has clearly fallen for the fallacious argument that if the microspheres were found in the dust, then they must of been produced in the collapse -- oblivious to the possibility that they might have already been in the building before the collapse (e.g. from all the welding that was done in the construction). Overlooking such an obvious possibility is a clue that the conclusion was reached before the logic was attempted. Gage's "experts" would have us believe that we can safely assume that premise because the microspheres are so rare that it's unbelievable they could have already been there. But once again, a little actual research reveals that the things are very common because they are produced by a lot of different processes. Whereas Gage's "experts" would have us believe that the microspheres are a signature of thermite (Harrit: "spheroids have never been observed unless there was a thermite reaction" , the undeniable fact is that they can be produced in a fire with an average temperature less than the melting point of iron or steel, such as a trash incinerator or coal-fired generator, and that they can be produced without any fire at all, such as by striking steel with flint or grinding truck brake pads on brake drums. McGrade would have no explanation for microspheres in fly ash, but other metallurgists and physicists do: Very small particles of iron or rust can actually melt at a temperature below the melting point of a large chunk (for this, you need to understand the subtle difference between heat energy and temperature); and the average temperature of a fire includes small, localized areas both above and below the average temperature. So, the second step in the faulty logic is falsely assuming that the microspheres could not have been produced in the WTC fires -- they could have been. Apparently McBride has followed her own advice to just look at the evidence and jump to conclusions, leaving out a step or two that a rational person should not. She is correct, however, that you don't need an engineering degree to understand these things, but again we get hypocrisy instead of valid argument.
McGrade's second "smoking gun" is David Chandler's 2.25 second free-fall for WTC7. We've already looked under the hood of that one; perhaps someone should point her to that 1.75 seconds, seven feet, of less-than-free-fall which preceded that. Then she could compare NIST's explanation for it -- it was the beginning of eight floors buckling -- with Chandler's complete lack of an explanation. She's correct that she doesn't need to be an engineer to understand it, but she really should find out what "it" is before offering "expert opinions" about it, and she has manifestly failed to do so. The NIST hypothesis explains the whole collapse sequence; the controlled demolition hypothesis does not, even if we pretend that magical silent explosives exist.
Her third "smoking gun" is Tony Szamboti's "missing jolt." Good news! It's been found, hiding under Tony's bad math and misguided assumptions. As you may recall, Dr. Bazant's analysis of the collapse compared the gravitational energy of the falling mass to the maximum energy that could be absorbed by the impacted columns as they were pushed into plastic buckling. Bazant did not say that was what actually happened to all the columns; in fact he explicitly said that it wasn't the only thing going on. But he was interested in the conservative "limit case," i.e. if every column offered it's maximum resistance to the falling mass, because he wanted to see if there was any chance at all that the collapse could have been stopped. (Answer: not even close even in his limit case, and even less so in reality, because the more likely failure modes would have absorbed less energy.) Szamboti took that limit-case model, however, and inferred that if that had happened, then there should have been a large "jolt" -- a rapid change in acceleration -- produced by the impact, because pushing all the columns into buckling required a "force amplification" (provided by the inertia) several times greater than the mass of the falling top section. Szamboti claims that the equal-and-opposite reaction force on the mass would therefore produce an upward acceleration greater than 1g. He then took Bazant's simplifying assumption of a rigid top block literally, ignoring that it was actually somewhat flexible and that what was actually impacting the lower structure was rubble acting more like a liquid than a rigid structure, and claimed the large jolt should be observable by measuring the roofline fall. He couldn't see such a jolt so he deduced that the columns must have been destroyed with magical silent explosives. Problem is, that limit-case scenario is not what actually happened, so Tony's premise is false. In the first place, what actually happened was that both towers failed on one side first, so the top sections tilted as they fell. One consequence of the tilt was that the columns were not impacted all at the same time, nor were they impacted squarely. So even if all the columns had been crushed, Tony's jolt would have been spread out over time, not one massive jolt. But even worse for Tony's inference is that the columns weren't all pushed into buckling. Instead, the predominate failure modes were floor joists and beams being ripped away from the columns and spandrel beams, and then the columns were simply pushed aside (because the floors that held them vertical were gone). That doesn't change the "unstoppable collapse" conclusion from Bazant's energy analysis, because as he points out, those failure modes would have absorbed even less energy than column buckling. But what all of that means for Tony's hypothesis is that we should really expect to see only small jolts, if any, at the roofline, spread out over time, not the massive jolt that he calculated. Then, when we look at his own data and see exactly that, his conclusion is dead meat, regardless of how impressed with it McGrade is.
Does Gage have any "experts" who know what they're talking about, wildbill?
wildbilln864
(13,382 posts)It is you who do not! But hey go ahead and keeplistening to hacks from JREF and make it up as you go some more.
William Seger
(11,262 posts)Gage's "expert" claims three smoking guns, which would be overkill since one will do.
I've walked you through a little of what I've found in my personal investigation into the primary claims of most of Gage's "experts," wilbill, neglecting only some who added nothing substantial. The purpose was to give you or anyone else who reads the board ample opportunity to show me where I went wrong in concluding that this is bullshit. If I'm the one who doesn't know what he's talking about, it should be fish in a barrel: Have at it.
Until that happens, I'll continue to predict that if Gage ever gets his wish for another investigation into magical silent explosives, real experts will not buy this bullshit. But I'll also predict that most "truthers" will buy nothing else.
That's if technical issues are investigated by people actually qualified to have an expert opinion. Gage preaches and passes the plate, but other than showing us some of his own "expert witnesses," he hasn't yet told us what this "independent investigation" would look like. Tell me how you think we ought to go about resolving this, wildbill: Who would you trust to conduct this investigation, and why?
wildbilln864
(13,382 posts)admit you were wrong seger. so keep on making it up if you wish. no skin off my ass. where you're concerned chemists, engineers, metallurgists all with decades of experience don't know as much as you to hear you tell it so I have no desire to try to convince you otherwise.
Response to William Seger (Reply #4)
Name removed Message auto-removed
wildbilln864
(13,382 posts)for the best part of a decade now. Don't expect anything will change.
zappaman
(20,618 posts)Every day, less and less truthers...
superbeachnut
(381 posts)Wow, with all this evidence, what is stopping you from teaming with a newspaper and breaking 911 wide open. It took less than a year to break Watergate wide open, but 911 truth had failed to make one valid calm for 13 years.
lol, it is funny, 911 truth thinks opinions are evidence; for 13 years of complete do nothing failure.
Which claim by her is the one you like? Which one can you back up with real evidence instead of talk?
Response to superbeachnut (Reply #5)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Response to wildbilln864 (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
wildbilln864
(13,382 posts)IronGate
(2,186 posts)looks like one of your fellow CTer's has left the building.
zappaman
(20,618 posts)Response to wildbilln864 (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Response to wildbilln864 (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Response to wildbilln864 (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
wildbilln864
(13,382 posts)zappaman
(20,618 posts)gyroscope
(1,443 posts)that in a nutshell is why the official story is a load of BS.
...why Building 7 for example could not have possibly fallen into itself as a result of an office fire.
I like the story about the crooked mechanic who told her she needed a new engine for her truck.
But it was obvious he was lying haha.
William Seger
(11,262 posts)Gyro's Second Law.
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)but not nearly as rapidly as it moves from an office fire.
wildbilln864
(13,382 posts)That is why the steel in the buildings would act like a heat sink wicking away the heat to cooler components and there's no way the buildings should have collapsed after only one hour of oxygen starved fires!
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)from the depths of Hades itself, can even melt or weaken structural steel to the point of collapse!
even though fire has never caused a steel-frame building to collapse before.
don't you know those evil demonic terrorists possess the power of Black magic?