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Dial H For Hero

(2,971 posts)
Thu Jan 7, 2021, 05:46 AM Jan 2021

What gun control laws do you think it likely will be passed in the nest two years?

To begin with , there gun control and there's Gun Control. The NRA will oppose all of these out of principal but will breath a sigh of relief if only the first one or two pass.

Red flag laws: Virtually certain.
Universal background checks: Also almost certain.

The next ones are (IMHO) increasingly unlikely, due to the razor-thin majority in the Senate and the quite thin majority in the House:

A ban on assault weapons and high capacity magazines which allows previously owned items to continue to be transferred and sold: Possible.
Requiring a national gun license to own firearms: Unlikely
A ban on assault weapons and high capacity magazines which forbids ever selling or transferring them, and confiscating them upon the owner's death: Very unlikely.
A ban on assault weapons and high capacity magazines which forbids ever selling or transferring them, requiring all such guns and magazines to either be registered under the National Firearms Act at $200 per weapon and $200 per magazine, and confiscating those which the owner does not wish to pay such a cost to register (Biden's plan): Very, very unlikely.

Speaking personally, if the first two pass I'll shrug. I'd find a licensing requirement annoying, but I'd live with it. The stricter the weapons and magazine ban, the more I'd hate it. The strictest version would have me pay something in the ballpark of $20,000 to be allowed to keep my property, largely because I have a ton of magazines. If I only kept three magazines for each of my "assault weapons", it would still cost me around $10,000.

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What gun control laws do you think it likely will be passed in the nest two years? (Original Post) Dial H For Hero Jan 2021 OP
DeWine, governor of Ohio just signed Stand Your Ground for everywhere, not SamKnause Jan 2021 #1
Laws are good in intent but difficult in implementation. Throck Jan 2021 #2
you can use small letters or not rampartc Jan 2021 #3
Something likely to be both ineffective and a political loser, is my guess krispos42 Jan 2021 #4
Biden's NFA-everything would have free registration post-facto clause ferfrans62 Jan 2021 #5

SamKnause

(13,804 posts)
1. DeWine, governor of Ohio just signed Stand Your Ground for everywhere, not
Thu Jan 7, 2021, 06:03 AM
Jan 2021

just your home.

Any time any where you feel threatened you do not have to retreat.

Throck

(2,520 posts)
2. Laws are good in intent but difficult in implementation.
Thu Jan 7, 2021, 07:07 AM
Jan 2021

Consider the logistics of the DMV and IRS, one is federal and one is state. The rollout of the Affordable Healthcare Act was complex and confusing.

rampartc

(5,835 posts)
3. you can use small letters or not
Thu Jan 7, 2021, 07:44 AM
Jan 2021

if ANY gun control passes we will lose seats ( and the majority.)

on the other hand, we will be accused of "gun grabbing" if we do nothing.

krispos42

(49,445 posts)
4. Something likely to be both ineffective and a political loser, is my guess
Thu Jan 7, 2021, 09:29 AM
Jan 2021

Trying to reduce a complex multivariable issue to "ban assault weapons" as if it's solely (or even mostly) a hardware problem guarantees the problem will not be affected AND we'll lose in 2022, thus keeping us from fixing ANY OTHER PROBLEM in the country.

But hey, it makes gunhumpers pissed, amiright???

ferfrans62

(5 posts)
5. Biden's NFA-everything would have free registration post-facto clause
Sat Jan 9, 2021, 11:15 AM
Jan 2021

IMO adding the magazine-fed guns and magazines to the NFA would likely include a free registration period. If you look at the pistol brace request for comment from the ATF, they had that in there too. I think that was also the case with the GCA in 68.

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