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pnwmom

(109,630 posts)
Thu Oct 20, 2016, 04:19 AM Oct 2016

There's a new "silent majority" and it's voting for Hillary Clinton.

http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/10/19/13288594/new-silent-majority

The new silent majority is minorities and educated women
In 1972, Nixon’s silent majority, grounded firmly in the white working class, delivered a smashing victory for the GOP, dashing the hopes of George McGovern supporters that a new coalition of young white professionals and racial minorities could upend American politics. Forty-four years later, America is facing another silent majority election — one in which the story has been all about Trump’s supporters but the victory will go to Clinton’s.

Ironically, the basic contours of the coalitions are essentially the same as in Nixon’s day.

Data from the Pew Research Center shows that Republicans enjoy the allegiance of the vast majority of white voters without a college degree — a trend that Trump will, if anything, accelerate. Democrats, meanwhile, enjoy overwhelming majorities among people of color, who now comprise almost 40 percent of their party — a trend that Trump will, again, accelerate. White Democrats these days are mostly college graduates, and mostly women. And while white male Democrats will back Clinton over Trump, they went pretty overwhelmingly for Sanders in the primaries. Clinton’s core coalition is composed of racial minorities and well-educated women, especially unmarried ones.

Clinton also enjoys the support of more than 70 percent of LGBTQ Americans and is trouncing Trump with Jewish voters by higher margins than any 21st-century Democrat.

SNIP
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There's a new "silent majority" and it's voting for Hillary Clinton. (Original Post) pnwmom Oct 2016 OP
In the late 1960's many felt the nation went too far left Chasstev365 Oct 2016 #1
+1 pnwmom Oct 2016 #2
It's all demographics. forjusticethunders Oct 2016 #5
It's the Harold Washington coalition writ large Ellen Forradalom Oct 2016 #3
That's a great point. greatauntoftriplets Oct 2016 #4

Chasstev365

(5,191 posts)
1. In the late 1960's many felt the nation went too far left
Thu Oct 20, 2016, 05:53 AM
Oct 2016

I've been waiting for the pendulum to swing back and with Trump it finally did: a majority think Trump is too far right

The Democrats must use the phrase "clear mandate" over and over after the election.

 

forjusticethunders

(1,151 posts)
5. It's all demographics.
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 07:35 AM
Oct 2016

The 1960s and 70s weren't about white or left, they were about black or white. Democratic-voting union voters split with the party because we were trying to be inclusive of non white, non straight, non male people. It's taken 40 years but those exiled white working class voters and middle class voters have been replaced with working class and middle class voters of color (it's funny how the working class never seems to incorporate POC), which has allowed the Democratic Party to tack left just like before.

Of course, the WWC is welcome to come back as long as they leave their bigotry at the door.

Ellen Forradalom

(16,179 posts)
3. It's the Harold Washington coalition writ large
Thu Oct 20, 2016, 09:40 AM
Oct 2016

The same electoral groups that made Harold Washington the first black mayor of Chicago made Barack Obama the first black President. Hillary hasn't lost any of the groups that compose this majority, and she's gained disaffected Republicans. There is a growing split in the white working class between men and women, too: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/10/donald-trump-2016-blue-collar-woman-214356

greatauntoftriplets

(176,984 posts)
4. That's a great point.
Fri Oct 21, 2016, 07:46 AM
Oct 2016

The Harold Washington coalition also made Cook County the only county in Illinois to vote for Pat Quinn over Bruce Rauner two years ago. Unfortunately, that was a loss in our column.

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