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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton’s path to victory
Hillary Clinton and her allies are hoping to cut into Donald Trumps numbers among white voters by appealing to those with college degrees, women in particular. | AP Photo
If the blue wall holds, she needs only one swing state to win the White House.
By Shane Goldmacher and Annie Karni
06/19/16 07:34 AM EDT
Updated 06/19/16 09:56 AM EDT
Hillary Clintons super PAC has begun spending $145 million on ads in eight states through November and theres a realistic path for her to win the White House even if she carries only one of them.
Its a sign of how strongly tilted the Electoral College map is in Clintons favor, as she begins a general election campaign building upon the demographic and geographic coalition that President Obama rode to two electoral landslides. Donald Trump, in contrast, must dramatically reimagine and redraw the political landscape to capture the presidency.
Rather than expand the 2012 map in any significant way, the Clinton campaign and its allies want to replicate it. They are obsessed with choking off Trumps narrower path, hoping to strike a decisive victory in Florida multiple Clinton officials declared there is nearly no path for Trump without it while aggressively defending the Democratic-leaning states in the industrial Midwest that Trump has talked most about flipping most importantly, Pennsylvania. Campaign officials say they think Clinton can turn out more female voters than Obama did. But they see one surrogate in particular as key to recreating the Obama coalition: President Barack Obama himself.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/hillary-clinton-path-victory-224228#ixzz4C377MLZn
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Hillary Clinton’s path to victory (Original Post)
BootinUp
Jun 2016
OP
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)1. K & R
SidDithers
(44,273 posts)2. DU rec...
there are something like 19 states that have voted Democratic in each of the last 6 Presidential elections. I think the total of those 19 states is 242 EVs.
All Hillary would need to do is to pick up another 29 EVs to get to 271.
Florida has 29 EVs.
ETA: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/05/02/republicans-have-a-massive-electoral-map-problem-that-has-nothing-to-do-with-donald-trump/
Sid
Squinch
(53,145 posts)3. That ain't no path. It's a wide, tree-lined, flower-planted boulevard, and she's in
the back seat of a comfy convertible waving happily.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)4. The establishment controls all aspects of the path. -nt-
Gothmog
(155,389 posts)5. Great Article