2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIn nearly every swing state, voters preferred Hillary Clinton on the econom
More stats to boggle the mind.
Philip Bump Verified account
@pbump
As noted by @nycsouthpaw, voters worried about the economy -- most of them -- preferred Clinton.
The Fix
In nearly every swing state, voters preferred Hillary Clinton on the economy
By Philip Bump December 2
Anonymous Twitter dog @nycsouthpaw made an interesting observation on Friday.
The driving narrative for the results of the November election has run contrary to that. According to a broad swath of popular understanding, Donald Trump will be the next president because he narrowly won three critical states -- Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin -- powered by working class voters frustrated with economic intransigence.
But that's not what exit polling shows in those states, to Southpaw's point. Exit polls show Hillary Clinton winning a majority of the vote from people who told pollsters that the economy was the most important issue facing the country. What's more, in each state, a majority of voters said that was the case.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=480
The circles with bright red slices are those in which voters who thought the economy was the most important issue either preferred Trump or preferred both candidates equally. Those are all states that went for Trump. In every other state, voters most worried about the economy preferred Clinton, even though she lost eight of those states.
In nearly every state, Clinton did better (and Trump worse) with voters worried about the economy than with the overall pool of voters. (Notice how the blue slices in the smaller circles extend further than the blue slices in the larger ones.)...................
How can that be? How can she win a majority of the majority and still lose? Because she lost with other groups worse..............
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)JI7
(90,527 posts)the wealthy big business appoinments is because voted for trump over bigotry . Not economics.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)As I've written several times, the "working class whites/economic messaging" narrative is ridiculous. It fails under scrutiny, withers under the weight of critical thought/analysis.
None of which is to say the Democratic Party doesn't have room for improvement.