2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhy not more discussion of Greg Palast's compelling case that GOP stole 2016 election?
https://soundcloud.com/davidcnswanson/talk-nation-radio-greg-palast-on-stripping-7-million-voters-from-rolls-swinging-electionthe seven million disqualified votes includes hundreds of thousands of voters in the 3 key swing states where there is a recount push
these states are particularly intense venues of these cheating schemes as they are Republican-controlled and key swing states
the exit polls (used by US in gauging honesty of OTHER countries' elections) showed Hillary leading -- the difference is those many many voters who were disqualified -- if the past is any guide, only a tiny fraction of those disqualified, as in Florida 2000 (where there was a HIGHER percentage legit than usual), were legitimately disqualified
so now the 2000 election, 2004 and 2016 have been stolen
the idea that if the GOP gets close enough to stealing an election that it is normally possible (with heavier and heavier thumbs on the scale) to steal it, then they get to do so, with a minimum of fuss being made
and obviously things will only get MUCH worse now in terms of honest voting
lonestarnot
(77,097 posts)triron
(22,240 posts)TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)No time to look at the elephant in the room. Pun intended.
(My title is meant as sarcasm, just in case it wasn't clear.)
triron
(22,240 posts)PatSeg
(49,724 posts)Bill Maher on his show right after the election spent most of the time blaming Democrats, instead of voter suppression, voter ID laws, fake news, James Comey, Putin, and flat out election fraud. I guess the only way Democrats are allowed to win is if they have a lead that is so huge, it can't be stolen by republicans.
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)The Clinton campaign, like every campaign in history, made some significant errors and could have had a better plan. I think we all agree on that. I don't see anyone indicating that Clinton ran the perfect campaign, in part because the perfect campaign doesn't exist. And hindsight is 20/20.
That doesn't explain why Feingold lost. Or Teachout. Or any other number of Democrats running this term who were seemingly in position to make gains.
Everything you mentioned was a factor, some much more so than whatever faults some have decided were the primary (or only) factors in this race. Voter suppression (and, related, the major changes in Voter ID laws since 2013) alone were likely responsible for tens or hundreds of thousands of votes in the swing states. And, as we all know, the suppressed tend to be overwhelmingly Democratic.
Comey was no doubt a factor, perhaps the most influential one.
PatSeg
(49,724 posts)Exactly and all the pundits and strategists dissecting the Democrats campaigns gets maddening, as they often overlook the obvious. Anyone could run a better campaign, but that doesn't mean Democrats lost because they weren't as good as republicans. In most respects they were far better. Republicans cheat every way they can and Democrats are expected to quietly go in the corner and analyze their shortcomings.
Like the Democratic party, I am really good at beating myself up often over things that were beyond my control, but I know it is not usually a winning position. It seems Republicans are quick to blame others, whereas Democrats tend to blame themselves.
uponit7771
(91,756 posts)AgadorSparticus
(7,963 posts)The constant Clinton bashing is old. Not sure if they are trolls or what, but it is over the top. I just tune them out now.
shadowmayor
(1,325 posts)This is what I posted earlier about these votes that were discredited by the repukes. Why the fuck the DLC and others haven't fought against this I have no earthly idea?
Greg Palast wrote about this sinister crap being used in Florida during the 2000 election, in Ohio and other states in 2004 and more. Why hasn't the Democratic Party shone the light of truth and justice and the American way on this? Why is it still allowed to be applied so broadly? Where's the fight for these voters? Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory again. It's not like this is a surprise every four years.
I fear tomorrow I'll be crying. Confusion is my epitaph.
Nay
(12,051 posts)the Dems to fight against the obvious thefts in 2000 and 2004 and they rolled over. Just the effrontery of a gang of Republicans mobbing a courthouse to stop the FL recount should have made the Dems demand a recount of the whole state, but they did nothing. They've spent the past 16 years teaching the Pubs that there is no consequence if they mess with the election process. So they do. They are criminals and, in the absence of any serious policing, will act like criminals.
pnwmom
(109,562 posts)Bernie beat Hillary in CA and that the state wasn't going to count provisional votes. Every provisional vote was checked against registration rolls and the overwhelming majority were added to the vote totals -- all this could be traced in real time on the Secretary of State's website. But it took a few weeks for CA to go through the whole process, and the whole time Palast was saying that Bernie was being cheated.
think
(11,641 posts)There are plenty of other sources voicing concern over the Cross Check program.
Kris Kobach was instrumental getting Cross Check used in Kansas and it's now used in around 30 states. He's a top Trump adviser now.
https://theintercept.com/2016/12/05/trump-adviser-kris-kobach-harassed-kansas-voters-in-his-failed-quest-for-mass-election-fraud/
04/15/14 10:35 AMUPDATED 04/15/14 06:21 PM
By Zachary Roth
Florida has ditched a controversial GOP-backed program aimed at catching voters who are registered in multiple states, which some voting-rights advocates say can make it easier for eligible voters to be wrongly purged from the rolls.
~Snip~
But not all states have been careful about reading the fine print. Several Virginia counties last fall used the data to purge their rolls, after conducting only cursory investigations of their own, with the result that legitimate voters were removed weeks before the states gubernatorial election.
Just as important, Crosschecks reports, which often generate large-sounding headline numbers, can be used to stoke fear of voter fraud with little evidence to back it up. Thats what happened recently in North Carolina.
~Snip~
Kobach is a former Republican operative and top aide to former U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft. In addition to creating Crosscheck, he has led a legal effort to allow Kansas to require that people provide documentary proof of citizenship when registering to votea move that will make registering far harder for many low-income citizens.
Read more:
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/florida-quits-crosscheck#51684
pnwmom
(109,562 posts)had a huge negative effect on the election.
Retrograde
(10,648 posts)What were the turnout rates in the states Clinton narrowly lost? Less than 60%?
Grey Lemercier
(1,429 posts)It really damaged his credibility with a lot of people. A true shame, as almost all the rest of his work seems so vital and correct.
True_Blue
(3,063 posts)Unfortunately, unless we win by a landslide, the republicans will steal the election. Maybe we need to start using UN poll workers to make sure we have fair elections.
lostnfound
(16,637 posts)They'd have a harder time stealing it.
progressoid
(50,747 posts)make questionable correlations.
Ellipsis
(9,183 posts)He wears a funny hat.
Too much self marketing for me.
LaydeeBug
(10,291 posts)anarch
(6,536 posts)Unethical and racist, sure, but it's not "cheating," exactly. The Republicans are very good at gaming the system to their advantage...gerrymandering, strict voter ID requirements, closing polling stations, dismantling the VRA...all above-board tactics, despite what anyone might think of their basic decency and fairness.
I don't know about tossing provisional ballots--my suspicion is that this isn't as much of a factor as the other things that have been done to disenfranchise voters who would generally vote Democratic.
Might as well complain about the systemic racism of the drug war, and how so many likely Dem voters can't vote due to being locked up or not allowed to vote due to non-violent drug convictions...in my opinion it's horribly wrong, but it's not illegal.
NewJeffCT
(56,840 posts)close polling stations in rural areas? Strict voter ID doesn't hurt most white voters. Blue states typically don't gerrymander, and it's doubtful Dems will have enough power to gerrymander TX, OH, MI, etc any time soon.
forjusticethunders
(1,151 posts)However, even with rural whites the lower the income, the more left leaning so oops.
The fact is, fair elections have a liberal bias, which is why the GOP hates them so much.
NewJeffCT
(56,840 posts)but, if you live in a rural location, you're more likely to need a car to get around and have a driver's license. Somebody living in NYC, LA, Chicago, etc might be using public transportation and not have a driver's license.
brush
(57,498 posts)anarch
(6,536 posts)Is it cheating in football to hobble about a third of your opponent's team before the game, so that they can't play?
Is it cheating to change the rules so that your points count for twice as much as your opponent's?
so, yeah. and it will only get worse once the R's control all branches of government.
brush
(57,498 posts)more votes is deservedly declared the winner.
If we don't stopped it the repugs will cheat to win every election, and with the White House, the Senate, the House and a SCOTUS majority in place, they'll be able to change laws to make their cheating the LAW.
NewJeffCT
(56,840 posts)is going to enact very strict voter ID laws - driver's licenses, gun licenses, and maybe one or two other items.
totodeinhere
(13,306 posts)we can regain control of Congress and pass laws against it. Obviously that won't happen for the next two years at least.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Tell me this - if the pre-election polls were are all wrong, all of them - why can't the exit polls be wrong for the same reason. Do you think that it is possible that people were ashamed to say they would vote or did vote for Trump? I know I would be ashamed to say that.
Conspiracy theories are for people who have trouble dealing with reality.
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)They're reality. North Carolina, for one, was doing them en masse until they got caught and were required to restore them.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/north-carolina-naacp-voter-registration/index.html
Same thing in Ohio: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/10/ohio-voters-illegally-removed-from-rolls-may-cast-ballots.html
Polls are going to be inherently inaccurate if people who are registered voters don't get to vote or their votes don't count.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Some are Democrats, some are Republicans and some or independents. At several points in my life I was one of them as I moved state to state and from one voting precinct to another.
Again, you haven't shred of proof that mistakes made because of this program caused Hillary to lose the election. Normally people who are improperly removed from the voting roles can vote on a provisional ballots and if they were denied that right in massive numbers we would have heard about it by now.
Now quit your conspiracy theory BS!
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)You cannot possibly be serious. What do you think Voter ID laws are for?
That's the whole fucking idea.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)And most of the voter suppression in this country is "legally' passed by Republicans in state legislators and signed by Republican governors. Those laws are not conspiracy theories. That is "legal" voter suppression, but it is not the illegal voter or election fraud as these stupid conspiracy theories would have you believe.
If we want to get rid of "legal" voter suppression which is often enacted under the guise of election security, there are two avenues. Challenge the laws in court and/or vote out the Republicans.
But stop peddling stupid conspiracy theories unless you have proof to back up your claims.
brush
(57,498 posts)I have in '08, '12 and '16.
You work from a list of registered voters to call. One of the results boxes you check next to the name called is "deceased".
There are a few, but not many at all, nowhere close to what you're going on about. Same with moved voters. Most of those who've moved have re-registered already or welcome advice as to how to get back on the roll at their new address.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Yes, I have done some phone banking and I have noticed that I am not calling Republicans. Most of the time I was calling known Democratic voters and trying to get them out to the polls. I wasn't call people at random. The party does an excellent job of keeping those lists up to date in order to minimize lost time for their volunteers.
brush
(57,498 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)I said I agreed that there there are not many deceased and moved voters on the Democratic Party's voter lists. They are not even close to being the the same thing. The Democratic Party does an extremely good job of insuring that their volunteers are only spending their time calling eligible democratic voters and they know who they are and, in states with early voting, whether or not they have voted yet.
Over 18 Million Americans move every year. In addition almost 2.5 million Americans die every year - combined that is 22% of the US population. That means that there literally many millions of voters nationwide still on the voting rolls who are no longer eligible to vote.
brush
(57,498 posts)Last edited Tue Dec 6, 2016, 02:51 AM - Edit history (1)
putitinD
(1,551 posts)most of the time when you are calling someone that is deceased, the telephone number is disconnected, same with people that have moved. Whether or not they are still on the rolls is another story.
womanofthehills
(9,265 posts)The GOP's Stealth War Against Voters
Will an anti-voter-fraud program designed by one of Trump's advisers deny tens of thousands their right to vote in November?
We were able to obtain more lists Georgia and Washington state, the total number of voters adding up to more than 1 million matches and Crosscheck's results seemed at best deeply flawed. We found that one-fourth of the names on the list actually lacked a middle-name match. The system can also mistakenly identify fathers and sons as the same voter, ignoring designations of Jr. and Sr. A whole lot of people named "James Brown" are suspected of voting or registering twice, 357 of them in Georgia alone. But according to Crosscheck, James Willie Brown is supposed to be the same voter as James Arthur Brown. James Clifford Brown is allegedly the same voter as James Lynn Brown.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/features/the-gops-stealth-war-against-voters-w435890
jonno99
(2,620 posts)of voters who reportedly showed up to vote - but they couldn't, because they were no longer registered.
I have not seen any reports of this happening. Has anyone else?
cloudythescribbler
(2,596 posts)People go an vote (there are many "provisional" ballots not typically carefully reviewed in recounts) and often the votes are disqualified that have already been cast
There is no way in many instances that a voter knows that their vote has been disqualified; hence exit polls off by a couple of percentage points, showing HRC victory but not including disqualified votes
uponit7771
(91,756 posts)underpants
(186,646 posts)think
(11,641 posts)Last edited Mon Dec 5, 2016, 09:29 PM - Edit history (2)
Kris Kobach is a Trump advisor:
https://theintercept.com/2016/12/05/trump-adviser-kris-kobach-harassed-kansas-voters-in-his-failed-quest-for-mass-election-fraud/
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/8/25/1563577/-Kris-Kobach-has-yet-another-plan-to-rig-the-election-for-Republicans
If Democrats want to get to one of the biggest components of the GOP voter suppression efforts we need to look at programs like Interstate Cross Check which remove millions of voters from the voting roles. Most are removed correctly but the programs make mistakes and can easily remove a percentage of voters who shouldn't be.
The Interstate Cross Check program is used to remove voters who moved from a states voting roles. It started out in Kansas and is now used in over 30 states I think.
In Michigan the Interstate Cross Check program removed over 449,000 voters before this last election. If a significant portion of those people removed were done so wrongfully it could easily have swung the election results in Michigan.
Friday, November 11, 2016
Before a single vote was cast, the election was fixed by GOP and Trump operatives.
Starting in 2013 just as the Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act a coterie of Trump operatives, under the direction of Kris Kobach, Kansas Secretary of State, created a system to purge 1.1 million Americans of color from the voter rolls of GOPcontrolled states.
The system, called Crosscheck, is detailed in my Rolling Stone report,
The GOPs Stealth War on Voters, 8/24/2016.
Crosscheck in action:
Trump victory margin in Michigan: 13,107
Michigan Crosscheck purge list: 449,922
Trump victory margin in Arizona: 85,257
Arizona Crosscheck purge list: 270,824
Trump victory margin in North Carolina: 177,008
North Carolina Crosscheck purge list: 589,393
Read more:
http://www.gregpalast.com/election-stolen-heres/
There are many people on the voting roles who have died or moved. Some are Democrats, some are Republicans and some are independents. At several points in my life I was one of them as I moved state to state and from one voting precinct to another.
Again, you haven't shred of proof that mistakes made because of this program caused Hillary to lose the election. Normally people who are improperly removed from the voting roles can vote on a provisional ballots and if they were denied that right in massive numbers we would have heard about it by now.
Now quit your conspiracy theory BS!
And by the way: Please note one of your articles is entitled: "Trump Adviser Kris Kobach Harassed Kansas Voters in his Failed Quest for Mass Election Fraud." And by the way these are the vote totals for Kansas:
Donald J. Trump Republican 656,009 57.2%
Hillary Clinton Democrat 414,788 36.2
Hillary lost by 251K votes. Republicans hardly need to commit "massive election fraud' to win Kansas.
think
(11,641 posts)04/15/14 10:35 AMUPDATED 04/15/14 06:21 PM
By Zachary Roth
Florida has ditched a controversial GOP-backed program aimed at catching voters who are registered in multiple states, which some voting-rights advocates say can make it easier for eligible voters to be wrongly purged from the rolls.
~Snip~
But not all states have been careful about reading the fine print. Several Virginia counties last fall used the data to purge their rolls, after conducting only cursory investigations of their own, with the result that legitimate voters were removed weeks before the states gubernatorial election.
Just as important, Crosschecks reports, which often generate large-sounding headline numbers, can be used to stoke fear of voter fraud with little evidence to back it up. Thats what happened recently in North Carolina.
~Snip~
Kobach is a former Republican operative and top aide to former U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft. In addition to creating Crosscheck, he has led a legal effort to allow Kansas to require that people provide documentary proof of citizenship when registering to votea move that will make registering far harder for many low-income citizens.
Read more:
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/florida-quits-crosscheck#51684
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Or quit selling your BS!
I have moved many times from state to state and from one voting precinct to another. In each case, my name remained on the roles of the precinct where I had formally voted. There has to be some program to remove the names of people who have moved or died.
Now if too many mistakes are were made with one program or another, then adjustment definitely need to be made. However, if mistakes are made and people are improperly removed from the roles, they can still vote. That's why we have provisional ballots.
Again, unless you have PROOF of massive voter fraud, quit peddling your zany conspiracy theories. That BS is a distraction as we try to understand and fix why we lost.
think
(11,641 posts)vote.
The 7 million purged is the total number of people removed with the Cross Check program. But as Palast states it's the portion of those names purged which may be purged incorrectly that is in question.
Palast is in no way claiming voter fraud and is speaking about the exact opposite of that. Election fraud.
Errant voter purge programs like Cross Check, unethical voter id laws , and other tactics are all being used in concert to effectively keep people from their right to vote.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)I don't, but we'll do it your way. Again, because you apparently haven't read my posts, show me proof of election fraud. Who cares how may were purged from the voter roles! You have given no indication of how many were incorrectly purged or that when this happened if was a result of fraud and not simple mistakes.
In addition you have given absolutely no evidence that people were not able to vote because their names were purged from the lists in such large number that it affected the results of the election. All you offer is conjecture and conjecture does not equal evidence.
Again, quit peddling your damn conspiracy theories unless you have proof of voter fraud or election fraud or whatever the hell you want to call it.
think
(11,641 posts)By Lauren Carroll on Monday, November 7th, 2016 at 5:29 p.m.
~Snip~
"And you better believe she's going to vote," Obama said. "But this 100-year-old woman wasn't alone in being targeted. The list of voters Republicans tried to purge was two-thirds black and Democratic. That didnt happen by accident. It's happening in counties across the state. Now, there was a time when systematically denying black folks the right to vote was considered normal, as well."
Two days after Obama spoke, a federal judge ordered three North Carolina counties to restore voter registrations for about 4,000 individuals whose registration had been revoked within 90 days of the election. The NAACP brought the lawsuit.
~Snip~
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/nov/07/barack-obama/obama-says-republicans-tried-purge-black-democrats/
~Snip~
JOIE CHEN: Josh Lawson is a spokesperson for the North Carolina Board of Elections.
GREG PALAST: Have you busted anyone because of Crosscheck?
JOSH LAWSON: We have not made any referrals yet to any district attorneys. Theres not been a presentation to the state board.
~Snip~
JOIE CHEN: Of the three million names identified by Crosscheck in the last two years, not one has been convicted of voter fraud. But Virginia, another state using Crosscheck, has already struck more than 41,000 voters off the rolls, admitting that some of them may have moved out of state. Other states, like North Carolina, have been reaching out to voters on the Crosscheck list by mail. Those who fail to confirm their identity will be denied the right to vote on Election Day.
GREG PALAST: But you had this whole, like, hysteria over the fraudulent voters. But theyyou know, do they exist?
JOSH LAWSON: We know that double voters exist.
Read more:
https://www.democracynow.org/2014/11/3/jim_crow_returns_interstate_crosscheck_program
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Can't you read?!
think
(11,641 posts)Thankfully New York chose to not go forth with the Cross Check voter purge software:
By Casey Seiler, Capitol bureau chief on November 28, 2016 at 5:55 PM
Assemblywoman Barbara Lifton, D-Ithaca, on Monday sent a letter to U.S. Attorney General Loretta Lynch asking for an audit of the 2016 election, both the voting machines and the chronic and continuing matter of voter disenfranchisement through purging.
~Snip~
Lifton writes:
Unfortunately, the Crosscheck Program only uses a couple of data points, first and last name and date of birth, to make the matches, so the lists being sent back to all those states, are faulty in the extreme. For example, when New York States list that came back from Kansas, I recently learned, it had about 400,000 matched names that might then be eligible for purging, or about 3.3 % of our database, an astonishing number.
After making inquiries, I am happy to say that New York State seems to be carefully abiding by the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) of 1993, using the due diligence required before purging any voter. Using many more data points, such as middle initial, date of voter registration, etc., the New York Board of Elections had pared their list to only 30,000 possible purges, an expected number for a state of about 20 million people and a state from which new entrants to the country move to other states with greater-than-normal frequency. This number is a far cry from the 400,000 sent back from Crosscheck. In fact, I am told that New York was merely testing the Crosscheck program for accuracy and no purging has occurred in New York under this program. Nevertheless I am urging that New York never participate in this program again, since the Crosscheck Program uses our voter database, and other states databases, to create what are clearly extremely faulty lists for other states.
~Snip~
Heres Liftons letter to Lynch, which was copied to U.S. Sens. Charles Schumer and Kirsten Gillibrand, Speaker Carl Heastie and Assemblyman Michael Cusick, who chairs the Election Law Committee:
Read more:
http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/269680/lifton-to-doj-audit-election-results-nationwide/
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)One, do you realize what the odds are that even useing two data points such as full name and data of birth will result in some being purged from the voting rules erroneously?
Even if people have very common names like James Smith, they make up only a tiny portion of the population of the country. For instance I just picked up a telephone book containing over 32,000 residential customers; it contained only 3 James Smiths and each of them had a different middle initial. So there were no duplicates.
Let's say there is a voter named James H Smith on the voter roles in Miami Florida and let's say that in San Francisco there a person on the roles also named James H. Smith and he has the exact same birth date. What are the chances that it isn't the same person who has perhaps moved from Miami to San Francisco? Here are the calculations.
The ages of the US voters vary tremendously from 18 to over a hundred, but there probably aren't many centenarians voting of those so lets just say that the upper limit is 75 to be conservative. So a voter could have a birth date in any one of 57 years. With 365 days in the average year, a particular voter could have anyone of (57 x 365) 20,805 different birth dates. So the chances that a James H. Smith with exactly the same birth date as the person on the voter roles in Florida is not these same person is somewhere around 1 in 20,000. Sure in a country its going to happen, but not often at all.
If you want to make the system fool proof, use social security numbers instead.
However, in the in the vast majority of the cases, the process of using full name and date of birth is going to correctly determine that the voter has moved when duplicates are found. Again, those incorrectly singled out by the process can still vote on provisional ballot.
So again you are peddling BS! And you may want to give more thought to your posts instead of just grabbing something off of the internet.
Bottom line yet again: Either produce proof of voter or election fraud are quit pushing your lame conspiracy theories.
think
(11,641 posts)And I'm not sure what "BS" you claim I am peddling. I want the Cross Check list to be made public and an investigation to be done because it appears to be a flawed system.
Was Obama wrong in claiming people were being purged? A judge reinstated the rights of 4,000 voters who weren't suppose to be purged 2 days after Obama spoke. These purges were done using the Cross Check data base. That'a a lot of people purged, Luckily the judge demanded they get put back on the roles.
I've posted numerous articles about the concerns dealing with the Cross Check data base and the potential for errors. I like Palast and many others believe that the Cross Check list needs to be made public to see if people were left off the voting roles.
Perhaps you don't consider the purging of voters as election fraud but I and many others do? Is this fraud illegal? No because it can't be proved with intent. Purging voters is perfectly legal as long as one can claim the errors are made by mistake. That doesn't make it any less wrong and egregious.
But there is another database called ERIC and that database is much more accurate and this is very well known.
But the Miami Herald's Naked Politics blog notes that Florida has dropped out of the program, and the last voter information the state sent to Crosscheck was from 2012. When asked about why Florida left Crosscheck, a spokeswoman from Detzner's office replied:
The Department of State and Supervisors of Elections currently work with elections officials in other states to update registrations regarding residency, and we are always exploring options to improve the elections process.
According to the Naked Politics blog, Oregon also abandoned Kobach's Interstate Crosscheck. Tony Green, spokesman for Oregon's secretary of state, gave this explanation:
We left because the data we received was unreliable and we felt joining the ERIC project would better meet our needs.
ERIC stands for the Electronic Registration Information Center, a project started by the Pew Charitable Trusts that now includes nine states (Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Virginia and Washington) and Washington, D.C...
Read more:
https://www.facingsouth.org/2014/04/nc-joined-controversial-voter-cross-check-program-.html
In the mean time other notable people are getting behind Palast's call to make the Cross Check list public:
To: Office of the Attorney General, Loretta E. Lynch
U.S. Department of Justice
950 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20530-0001
In his new Rolling Stone investigation Greg Palast has revealed that a program to prevent alleged voter fraud, Interstate Crosscheck, has wrongly tagged voters listing them as registering in two states or voting in two states, a felony crime. The suspect list of potential criminals contains an astonishing SEVEN MILLION NAMESnaming ONE IN SEVEN voters of color in the Crosscheck states.
While partisan officials have kept the list confidential, Rolling Stone investigative reporter Greg Palast obtained over one million of the accused.
The ONLY evidence you have voted or registered in two states is that you share a first name and last name with another voter. A typical example: Maria ISABEL Hernandez of Virginia is supposedly the same voter as Maria CRISTINA Hernandez of Louisiana.
Tens of thousands of voters have already been purged in a single state. As many as one million may lose their right to vote by this November.
Experts have stated the Crosscheck system, directed for 30 states by the highly partisan Secretary of State of Kansas, is dangerously biased against minorities. As the great civil rights leader Rev. Joseph Lowery said of Crosscheck, This is Jim Crow all over again.
From:
We, the undersigned. The American public demand an investigation of Crosschecks racially-biased purge operation and the release of the entire list of the seven million Americans suspected of voting or registering in two states..
Upon reaching 50,000 co-signers our team at the Palast Investigative Fund will hand deliver the names to your office and demand that your Civil Rights division do a full investigation into the Interstate Crosscheck program.
Signed,
Congressman Alcee Hastings, Congressional Black Caucus
Hon. Keith Ellison, US Congressman
Martin Luther King III
Santiago Juarez, AMPARO Legal Services
Dr. Wilmer Leon, Sirius FM
Bill Gallegos, Climate Justice, Communities for a Better Environment
Taz Ahmed, 18 Million Rising
Mimi Kennedy, People Demanding Action
Medea Benjamin, Code Pink
http://thebestdemocracymoneycanbuy.com/petition/
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Who care's what what anyone on the on the internet says about a subject. Opinion is not fact! You have yet to prove anything except that you know how to use Google!
And yes if you only use a persons first and last name that name is going to turn up often in other states. But if you use the entire name combined with date of birth (as you described in another post), the possibility of a erroneous match (one where it is not the same person) drops to almost zero for a particular person. And again, that why we have provisional ballots. Maybe until a better way of clearing the voter rolls can be instituted in every state, AA leaders should also get the word out that if your name is no longer on the voting rolls, ask for a provisional ballot.
18 Million Americans move every year. Another 2.5 Americans die every year. Together that is 22% of the US population. Something must be done to clean up the voting rolls. Are there better methods, yes. Certainly the use of Social Security numbers to make matches would drop the odds of improper matches to zero, but not all state voting rolls contain SS#'s.
In the mean time the Crosscheck system by it very nature is not a method of keeping massive numbers of people from voting unless there is proof that it is criminally misused and there is absolutely is no proof of that.
Again, quit misleading people with your conspiracy theories.
womanofthehills
(9,265 posts)He actually met some of the people who were purged by crosscheck and said many did not even have the same middle initials. Jr's and Seniors with the same name were purged.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)The Crosscheck list is supposed to also use a person's date of birth making the probability of someone being purged improperly a purged a 1 in 20,000 probability. If someone was improperly purging the voter rolls using the Crosscheck list as an excuse, they were committing a crime and should have been ushered into a jail cell to await prosecution.
ancianita
(38,526 posts)as a form of suppression. You say, "peddling," "misleading," "conspiracy theory BS,"
You angrily demand numbers when teams of investigators can only do that.
You angrily toss around numerical logic which itself proves you only know math, but not the math realities of registration, voter mobility, vetted purges, registration, mail-in or provisional ballot counts.
You angrily refuse to accept the spirit of the claims made by election programmers, lawyers and other experts, nevermind Greg Palast.
This recount is real. The whole truth will come out in clearer numbers eventually.
Until then you can knock off the angry put-downs of anyone's understandings or explanations of their "googling," who try to keep DU interest in voter suppression alive around here.
Explain. Don't attack.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)When we spout conspiracy theories which are devoid of facts, we are no better than those who do the same on the far right. For instance when Trump was blasted because he repeated the conspiracy theory that he lost the popular vote because "millions of people voted illegally", the counter was that those on the left were claiming the same thing except in reverse. And they are right.
It is true that the that the far left and the far right may have opposite ideologies, but their behavior, including the tendency to spout conspiracy theories, are very similar. See "Horseshoe Theory".
No one should publish crap on the internet until they are reasonably sure it is correct, that means AFTER an investigation is conducted, not before.
My undergraduate degree implies that I know math and I know from experience the "realities of registration, voter mobility, vetted purges, registration, mail-in or provisional ballot counts". If you read the many posts I have made on this OP, you will see that I do.
I never said a damn thing about "to accept the spirit of the claims made by election programmers, lawyers and other experts"; that was never brought up. The subject was never brought up; the entire discussion with the penguin was about the Palast BS.
However, I will says something about the recounts now. Sure I would like to see the results in the three states reversed, but I have next to no hope that will happen. The problem is that the irregularities in certain voting districts reported by "election programmers, lawyers and other experts" can be explained by the different demographics in those area. (See the article by Nate Silver on his 538 website:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/demographics-not-hacking-explain-the-election-results/
Demographics, Not Hacking, Explain The Election Results ]
I am glad that the recounts are in progress. At minimum they will restore faith in the US election system in the eyes of the world - and that is important. As I said, I would love for the election results to be reversed, but I am not holding my breath.
What we are seeing now on DU with all of the talk of election and voter fraud is a stage of grief called "bargaining". (Five stages of grief: Denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance.) There is nothing wrong with that, it is a natural process, but it is not okay to make fools of all Democrats by displaying your paranoia for all to see.
ancianita
(38,526 posts)is what you are doing. Shutting down further inquiry. Further inquiry is part of theory, an Enlightenment value that drives scientific inquiry, as well. Thus, you're wrong about the horsehoe "model," as I would call it, about left and right tendencies. I can list scientists who claim that conservative politics kept them from developing broad data bases needed to ground theories, yet another example of why 'theories' take so long to become accepted as solid, unrevisable history.
So what if these people have no facts yet. They're not journalists or undercover, and yet they are supporting those who are. There is absolutely nothing to associate them with right-wingnut theories, since no one on that end of your "horseshoe" model tries to ground their theories with raw data.
This is a 50-state, 50-state legal, jurisdictional and all around record-keeping nightmare. It's a nightmare. It's labor and time intensive. It's not googling. Yet, as people around here want to build evidence from sources, from google, no less, you decide to berate them.
So yeah, glad you took pains to lecture me about the cost/benefits of "conspiracy theories." I've only been dealing with this crap since the 70's, but feel free.
Okay, let me explain "the spirit" of communication, based on this part of what you said above:
"...I never said a damn thing about "to accept the spirit of the claims made by election programmers, lawyers and other experts"; that was never brought up. The subject was never brought up; the entire discussion with the penguin was about the Palast BS..."
No, you didn't. I did. Understand that what is generally understood about the "spirit" of people's communications around here are the good faith attempts to work together to build an accurate map.
Of reality, elections, a path ahead.
You choose to call it a stage of grief, if you wish. But that's too convenient when real criminal vote count fraud is being investigated. Adults can still be high functioning in all the stages of grief, and they do so with eyes vigilant to actual, factual events they pay attention to. So please remember as real events unfold, we're not talking psychological theory here, either.
This is not about bargaining with losing. DU'ers do not exhibit any anti-spirit or bad faith attempts to deliberately mislead, lie, cast doubt or float other people's lies or conspiracies. Skinner and the old heads have cleaned house and kept hackers at bay and have well articulated policies about that so far. Even you seem to have cleared an alert.
No one needs to be spoken to as if they are full of bs or deliberately trying to bs anyone.
We are not dupes.
We are not duping each other.
We are not fooling each other or stirring paranoia.
You have no evidence for any of those claims.
There are creditable sources many in DU tend to rely on. I go for Tom Englehardt with TomDispatch, Mother Jones, The New Yorker and everything Palast does. I think we even have a black list of bad sources.
In the spirit of looking at credibility, you could give the struggling journalists who are 95% right most of the time a break, too, and not label their claims or anyone who quotes their claims here as bs, either.
So, I call it the "spirit" of mapping -- the attempt to "map" together what is happening.
Just because you have a point -- which you have flung at people as if it's the final word against their stubborn intents to mislead themselves and other -- in repeating that there isn't sufficient evidence yet to have hope that we can prove rigging, your point doesn't mean that your truth is better, more lasting and the final reason to stop this "nonsense" -- it doesn't mean that you should discourage people who show hope that legal and journalistic digging is going to get us -- you -- the evidence we all want.
We need to support activities that support our interests. That includes hope talk, not conspiracy talk, over the damned hard slog of mapping what really happened in red states that had previously gone blue. No beginning, whether it's government, constitution, voting system, study of the mind, starts off with all the facts and evidence. This issue is no different. We also don't have all the historical patterns of voting conflicts to help guide the investigations.
If you'd agree that people's personality is not a solid indicator of their core personhood, we can come to trust the good intent of DU members around these issues and ease up on each other until this arduous process gets sorted out.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)The vast majority of past conspiracy theories remained just that, conspiracy theories and they were thus eventually consigned to the trash bins of history. The few CT's that have turned out to be true - well, in the South we have saying for that, "Even a blind hog finds an acorn once and a while" or perhaps one with which you may be more familiar: Even a stopped clock is right twice a day".
And the Horseshoe Theory is valid in my opinion, especially at the extremes. For instance at the far left wing the USSR (founded on extreme left wing Communist principles) was virtually indistinguishable in its actions from far right wing dictatorships. But it also is reasonably valid as peoples' ideologies begin to depart significantly from the center. While their ideologies may be completely different, the behaviors of the far left and the far right in this country are too closely aligned to be coincidence. Those on the far right and the far left:
1) Both believe that they and they alone are ideologically pure and must maintain that purity. They both think that anyone who doesn't hold their ideological opinions must be wrong.
2) Both believe that those who claim to be on the same side of the ideological spectrum, but are more centralist have been at best "mislead". And it isn't unusually for those on the far left to label fellow progressives to their right "conservatives" while those on the far right often label conservatives to their left ideologically "liberals".
3) Both abhor making concessions and compromising because they "cannot in good conscious compromise their principles.
4) Both are usually not very successfully politically because those who are successful in politics compromise to get things done, and both lack the capacity to compromise.
5) Both often cling to conspiracy theories when they lose, because they know they are right and the other side is wrong. So how could the people on the side of right possibly lose unless the other side cheated.
(There are other similarities, but I don't want to bore you.)
And no, nothing I have written should leave anyone to believe that I mean to preclude investigations into situations which may be questionable. In fact I favor investigations because they get the truth out. Either conspiracy theories are proven to be correct (in which case they are no longer conspiracy theories) or they are proven wrong, as is usually the case. Of course in the case of the latter, some wing nuts will still come up with a new conspiracy theory that the investigation was tainted.
So, I am more than happy with the recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. I don't think that the election results will be reversed in any of those state, but even, so if they are done correctly it will be add even more credibility to the American Election system.
What I do have a problem with is people giving voice to conspiracy theories when they don't have a shred of evidence to back up their opinions and all they really have is questionable situations which haven't been investigated. It is more than okay to point out that things in a certain situation don't seem to add up and to insist on an investigation. That is even laudable. However, for people to point to a situation that doesn't look right and and insist that there was cheating though they have no evidence at all is reprehensible. And I will continue to call them out on it.
ancianita
(38,526 posts)is not cause for you to assert they are conspiracy minded. They are not. Not here.
You say, "...It is more than okay to point out that things in a certain situation don't seem to add up and to insist on an investigation..."
Then you insist you can tell the difference between their logical doubts about counter-intuitive processes and their being conspiracy-minded. I'm saying ease up and let this longass process go forward without namecalling.
If you "continue to call them out on it," you're going to get challenged yourself.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)First of all, I took pains to talk everyone everyone of your points regardless of how lame I thought some of them to be and I thought I did darn good job. I note that you are evidently unable to counter my arguments point by point, but let's let that go. Let's instead explore your present one.
These people aren't concentrating on calling for investigations into what they regard as suspicious situations. (And if they were who in the hell of any importance did they expect was going pay any attention to what they write on DU?) No, apparently they passionately believe without any solid evidence that the election was stolen and they trying to convince others of the same. That's called pushing conspiracy theories.
If you don't believe me, you need only to re-read the OP. Written cloudythescribbler, it is entitled, "Why not more discussion of Greg Palast's compelling case that GOP stole 2016 election: The following are the 2nd and 3rd paragraphs of the OP copied and pasted without alteration from the original post:
"the seven million disqualified votes includes hundreds of thousands of voters in the 3 key swing states where there is a recount push
these states are particularly intense venues of these cheating schemes as they are Republican-controlled and key swing states"
The following are the last three paragraphs from the OP:
"so now the 2000 election, 2004 and 2016 have been stolen
the idea that if the GOP gets close enough to stealing an election that it is normally possible (with heavier and heavier thumbs on the scale) to steal it, then they get to do so, with a minimum of fuss being made"
and obviously things will only get MUCH worse now in terms of honest voting"
This guy isn't trying call attention to possible problem so it can be investigated. Any one who has a brain and who can read can tell tell the difference between whether cloudythescribbler is having "logical doubts" or if he is trying to convince others the election was stolen. This guy is flat out saying that the election was stolen.
When someone categorically makes those kinds of charges and without evidence to back them up, they are dealing with conspiracy theories.
Do your really think this OP would have been posted on DU if Hillary had won? However, I can almost guarantee that some right wing Trumpsters would be making similar arguments if Trump had lost. Heck, Trump is claiming the election was rigged because he didn't win the popular vote. Isn't it interesting that conspiracy theories are only pushed by the losing side? I guess some people find solace by choosing to believe that the election was stolen.
ancianita
(38,526 posts)until proof of the counting through recounts is in, we still have reason to doubt. We still have to have voter enthusiasm.
It may seem lame to make the same charges that losing Republicans would make, that Bernie even made, but there is also misplaced solace in nurturing doubts but doing nothing to dispell them. People leave when they have doubts, and the winners love that.
And there are still other prevalent attitudes and behaviors -- self righteous dwelling on scapegoats is one of them, how to win over voters is another -- that persist throughout this party and need serious revising.
I still think facts, learning from mistakes -- no excuses, getting a winning vision of winning -- are tools for this party's revising its map.
I very much appreciate your taking the time to explain where you're coming from.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)This has happened on several occasions on DU. I entered into "vigorous discussions" with another member which lasted through several posts. As we begin to understand each others points of view, it turned out that we weren't so far apart after all and actually came to a kind of meeting of the minds or at least mutual respect the each other's views. The key it seem is keeping the conversation somewhat civil.
Let's "talk" again sometime.
ancianita
(38,526 posts)uponit7771
(91,756 posts)... voter fraud
MaeScott
(901 posts)Orsino
(37,428 posts)They have to be caught red-handed suppressing or flipping botes, and the system they devised hides that activity.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Show me proof of massive voter fraud. Otherwise you are selling BS!
Orsino
(37,428 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Orsino
(37,428 posts)I said nothing about voter fraud, and do not suspect it had anything significant to do with the outcome.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)My apologies
brush
(57,498 posts)You want proof? See the links below. The repugs even bragg about stopping certain 'others' from voting.
http://www.alternet.org/civil-liberties/gop-now-openly-bragging-about-suppressing-voters
http://www.eclectablog.com/2016/12/michigan-republicans-add-appropriation-to-voter-suppression-bill-making-it-democracy-proof-immune-from-citizen-referendum.html
Rex
(65,616 posts)Much better to just ignore the sucking chest wound and maybe it will just go away by itself.
think
(11,641 posts)to try and see what other sources are saying.
Cross check has been under the radar with the MSM but some news outlets have covered it.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts).... was a failed effort which occurred in Kansas where Hillary lost by 250K votes. Damn, that was some fraud if they pulled that off.
mythology
(9,527 posts)It is conjecture and hypothetical votes. But if millions of people went to the polls and found out they couldn't vote, why is there no evidence for it?
Response to cloudythescribbler (Original post)
TheFrenchRazor This message was self-deleted by its author.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)If you have PROOF that the election was stolen, let's here it. Otherwise you're just pushing another conspiracy theory.
uponit7771
(91,756 posts)Mike Nelson
(10,285 posts)valid, but Greg Palast is no longer someone I trust. Most of the "media" have their story, now, so they are pleased. And, Republicans have nearly all of the political and economic control. We will see more voter suppression and less coverage. Hillary Clinton ran an excellent campaign and won. The Republicans set the bar higher every time.