The vetting committee is a 5:6 dem:repub split but Lindsey Graham is on it.

Tillerson through without a fight

except the Supreme Court, where it is effectively already gone.

If any of his nominees fail, it will be because Republicans don't like him.

There are several republicans who have already stated they would not vote to eliminate the filibuster under trump

the filibuster for nominees is gone. They would have to make a rules change to bring it back, and that takes large super majorities to do. It's not coming back anytime soon.

unless the majority takes affirmative action to change them. The rules can be changed back to pre-2013 at the beginning of the session, but such a move of unilateral disarmament would be illogical and only benefit Senate Democrats.

It is doubtful that the legislative filibuster will be felled this term, but it is already dead for appointments.

Every single one will be confirmed.

Trump played this right, though: get a batch of the most extreme toxic nominees possible, let the outrage focus on a handful of the worst of the lot, replace them with highly-visible "compromise" nominees. meanwhile, most of the assholes fly through confirmation under the radar. 3 months from now, Trump goes before his supporters and brags about how he made a Great Deal and got 90% of what he asked for.

so who do you want to be sacrificed to our selective outrage?
Tillerson State
Sessions AG
Zinke Interior
Price HHS
DeVos Education
Chao Transportation
Mattis Defense
Carson HUD
Pompeo CIA
Mnuchin Treasury
Flynn NSA

pick 2