Martin O'Malley
Related: About this forumI'm feeling pessimistic about the upcoming debate
Not the debate itself, really, but the aftermath.
In past years, it's generally been the case that the public's perception of who won a candidates' debate -- and therefore who benefited in the aftermath -- wasn't a function of who actually did the best job during the debate but rather who the media, over the next few days, said won the debate.
We've seen how the media are managing to make O'Malley invisible. I'm afraid that even if he dominates the stage on Tuesday evening, in the days that follow, the media will annoint one of the other candidates as the winner, and that candidate will benefit in the polls. And therefore O'Malley won't.
Auggie
(31,775 posts)I expect it'll get smothered in bullshit
askew
(1,464 posts)Media gave every debate win to Hillary and the public thought Obama won. What happened afterwards was a huge increase of donations and rising poll #s for Obama. Media was forced to backtrack on Hillary won nonsense.
Media is in rescue Hillary mode in the past few days so I expect they'll spin this for Hillary and say O'Malley didn't do enough, etc. But, I expect O'Malley to rise in Iowa polls and to get an increase in donations.
I am more worried for the bad news about O'Malley's 3rd quarter donations. He is one of the only few who hasn't released them yet. I am guessing they are awful and they are due to be released right after the debate so that may slow his momentum.
JustAnotherGen
(33,424 posts)O'Malley has nothing to lose.
He can have his wife throw him his guitar onto the stage and start singing and that would be fine with me.
Much hair pulling and teeth gnashing will ensue. I will have a happy.
FSogol
(46,433 posts)O'Malley will do great and the other camps will have to spin that he didn't.
Raine1967
(11,607 posts)DavidDvorkin
(19,875 posts)The one good thing about being pessimistic by nature is that the surprises are more likely to pleasant than unpleasant.