Democratic Primaries

LiberalFighter

(53,475 posts) Thu Mar 5, 2020, 04:18 PM Mar 2020

Florida has 219 delegates at stake.

There are 27 congressional districts with 143 delegates.
An additional 76 delegates are elected state-wide for a total of 219 delegates.

Based on a current poll Biden will likely get all 76 delegates from the state-wide group. I'm guessing Biden will also likely get all or nearly all of the delegates in districts 15 thru 27 which are in southern Florida. They comprise 71 of the 143.

At a minimum I'm guessing Biden will get at least 180 delegates.

In 2016, Clinton got 141 and Sanders 73.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Florida has 219 delegates at stake. (Original Post) LiberalFighter Mar 2020 OP

Sanders will do far worse now NCProgressive Mar 2020 #1

I would think. But was going with southern Florida more likely to vote all for Biden. LiberalFighter Mar 2020 #2

There is a very big Cuban contingent in the I-4 corridor area. Blue_true Mar 2020 #3

All of Florida? I wasn't sure about panhandle and nearby. LiberalFighter Mar 2020 #4

He may do well in and around Tallahassee. Blue_true Mar 2020 #5

That helps to see. Those delegates are thinning out. LiberalFighter Mar 2020 #6

Sanders comments on Castro are hurting sanders Gothmog Mar 2020 #7

NCProgressive

(1,315 posts)

1. Sanders will do far worse now

Reply to LiberalFighter (Original post)

Thu Mar 5, 2020, 04:21 PM

Mar 2020

There will be groups running ads showing his praise for Fidel Castro.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LiberalFighter

(53,475 posts)

2. I would think. But was going with southern Florida more likely to vote all for Biden.

Reply to NCProgressive (Reply #1)

Thu Mar 5, 2020, 04:26 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

3. There is a very big Cuban contingent in the I-4 corridor area.

Reply to LiberalFighter (Reply #2)

Thu Mar 5, 2020, 08:41 PM

Mar 2020

They tend to be somewhat more progressive than the southern cousins, but they also have bad recollections of Castro. I can see Sanders getting wiped out across the state of Florida.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LiberalFighter

(53,475 posts)

4. All of Florida? I wasn't sure about panhandle and nearby.

Reply to Blue_true (Reply #3)

Thu Mar 5, 2020, 09:19 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

5. He may do well in and around Tallahassee.

Reply to LiberalFighter (Reply #4)

Thu Mar 5, 2020, 09:57 PM

Mar 2020

But Jacksonville (in Duval County) has a huge African American population. Farther out west into the panhandle Dems are thinner (that area provides republicans with lots of votes in Generals). I see Sanders losing in pretty much all the populated places, except for Alachua County and the Leon/Gilchrist County region.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden