Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumDU Poll: What will Sanders do? It is no longer a choice between Biden and Sanders...
...it is a choice between unity and discord, IMO. Only one candidate can conceivably come into the convention with 1991 delegates, or arguably even with a plurality. Four months of unnecessary and unproductive Democratic infighting plays into the Republicans' hands.
I think Sanders will do what's best for the Democrats and our ability to oust Trump.
What do you think he will do?
38 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited | |
I think Sanders will withdraw imminently. | |
4 (11%) |
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I think Sanders will want to promote his views through the March 15 debate and will withdraw by March 18. | |
7 (18%) |
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I think the DNC will force his hand and and cancel the next debate to push him to withdraw sooner. | |
0 (0%) |
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Since he has plenty of money, I think Sanders will stay in indefinitely to promote his agenda, but he will make no effort to contest Biden at the convention. | |
8 (21%) |
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I think Sanders will fight to the bitter end unless Biden gets 1991 delegates before the convention. | |
19 (50%) |
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0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided. | |
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(53,199 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)Last time, polls generally showed he would be stronger against Trump than Hillary was. This time, polls generally show that Joe is stronger against Trump than Bernie is.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(53,199 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)I guess you can believe what you want rather than, you know, looking at the numbers, but if truth matters, see...
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
Look at every single 2016 poll where each was polled head-to-head against Trump... Sanders did better than Clinton on 27 out of the 28 polls, and almost always by 5 or more points (and as much as 12 points).
In fact, not only did Sanders poll MUCH better against Trump than Clinton did; but it's a much bigger difference than the difference in how Sanders or Biden would do against Trump today, as you can see by comparing these:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-6250.html
I understand differences of opinion, but I am baffled by the refusal to acknowledge even easily checkable facts. But as they say, don't let facts get in the way...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(53,199 posts)she has an enormous lead over trump as there are where BS has a lead.
Or are you comparing his Spring results to her Autumn results, when she was running against Trump, Comey and Russia and the race tightened up?
You know he would have faced those same forces, right?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)The only valid comparisons are SAME POLL. For example, May 30 Quinnipiac Trump/Sanders to May 30 Quinnipiac Trump/Clinton. That way you're polling the same people, with the same methodology, at the same point in time. You cannot meaningfully compare a Trump/Clinton Autumn poll with a Trump/Sanders Spring poll.
With that in mind, look at the complete list of Sanders vs. Trump results from Jan 1 2016 to June 5 2016. Look at all the exact same polls on the Clinton vs. Trump page. Except for one of the 28, Sanders beats Trump by more than Clinton does... and not just by a little bit, but almost always by 5 or more points (and even as high as 12).
Yes, in almost all the polls, Clinton and Sanders both beat Trump... the point is that Sanders beats him by more--usually many more--points.
And if you look at, for example, how they compared to each other in Jan/Feb/Mar of 2016, that is comparable to looking at how Sanders and Biden have been polling against Trump in Jan/Feb/Mar of 2020, in terms of how far out from the election these numbers reflect.
p.s. -- they stop at June 5 because, once Sanders conceded, they no longer polled for how he would do against Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)p.s. -- No, come the Fall, Sanders would not have faced a Comey problem! But that could not have been predicted 6 months earlier.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
hlthe2b
(106,778 posts)internal polling is really bad for those four states (as it already is for FL), it is a toss-up whether he'll pull out before. On the whole, I think he will wait until the 18th.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to thesquanderer (Original post)
democratisphere This message was self-deleted by its author.
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)His positions (including a government run single payer system) polled well. Exit polls showed that many who supported Sanders' policies still ended up voting for Biden (i.e. for other reasons, like a perceived better chance to beat Trump). They liked Sanders agenda, but preferred Biden as a candidate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to thesquanderer (Reply #4)
democratisphere This message was self-deleted by its author.
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)I'll support him until he chooses to drop out or loses the nomination, but I am tired of this Red Scare style talk designed to frighten people away from the sort of programs that will sustain long term improvements, instead of short term gains for the moneyed class.
Bryant
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sop
(11,587 posts)the one best suited to beat Trump, or get his agenda through Congress if elected. Biden would do well to adopt Sanders' populist themes, like wealth disparity and corporate corruption, to appeal to Bernie's young, progressive followers as well as disaffected working class Trump supporters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MoonchildCA
(1,344 posts)Personally, I think his messaging is off by not explaining the distinction well, or often enough. It makes it easy for others to throw look at Venezuela, in our face. Id rather the comparison be made to the successful Scandinavian countries that have the happiest people in the world.
I hope our party does move toward that platform in the future. But we need to do it gradually, within the party, and with the right messaging. And right now, our ship is sinking, and we just need to get it back to shore, or our democracy will be lost forever.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pampango
(24,692 posts)Dont buy into Trumps attacks on socialism any time a liberal proposes anything.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)to sucker into donations and has money, he will stay to the convention. The question will be, will sanders go "scorched earth" policy on biden in same manner he did hillary? Will sanders followers take I don't "give a fuck attitude" and do what they can to help trump win?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)His defectors were in the same range as those who defected from Hillary to McCain in 2008.
It was not a "scorched earth" policy. He did not go so hard on her at the debates, endorsed her weeks before the convention, and campaigned for her. You can say he should have done more, sooner, ok, but he did support her and did not scorch earth.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Devil Child
(2,728 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)...personally, stakes being what they are, I think maximizing unity once the outcome is clear would be the greater good. And may even give Bernie an opportunity to have some more influence on Joe's policies, if they can work together in the coming months.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Devil Child
(2,728 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)It's more or less sarcasm. But it's better than having terrible judgement and being easily fooled, I suppose.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
rzemanfl
(30,308 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
zackymilly
(2,375 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Challenges on the left against Democratic candidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(12,394 posts)...on his ability to generate $ for primary candidates he supports.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
grantcart
(53,061 posts)That he is still in the race.
He also gets free press including the debates which all goes away if he suspends.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
W_HAMILTON
(8,570 posts)I think Sanders will fight to the bitter end, EVEN IF Biden gets 1,991 delegates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Agreed. The "scorched earth" philosophy among his top campaign staff members didn't "just happen" on its own.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(53,199 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden