Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum538 forecast for Tuesday's four primaries:
State Biden/Sanders/Margin
Arizona 40.4/26.6/13.8
Florida 160.6/58.4/102.2
Illinois 97.2/57.8/39.4
Ohio 82.5/53.5/29.0
Total 380.7/196.3/184.4
Biden's delegate lead will increase by about 180 to a total of roughly 330.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JaneQPublic
(7,117 posts)Sorry. Couldn't help the "Dumb and Dumber" reference.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NCProgressive
(1,315 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(147,606 posts)He's moving up on that 1991 majority figure, it seems to me.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SCantiGOP
(14,248 posts)How many people are going to see going to a voting site as risking their life? Especially older (i.e., likely Biden) voters.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Will his colleagues respect him less after all this is over?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)I know that Hillary doesn't think much of him, she's said (recently in a HULU special) that nobody likes him and I also recently read an article (an older one) where Barney Frank was sharing his recollections about how Bernie's "tactics" would often gum-up the works and spoil things that others had worked long hours on... negotiating and shepherding and consolidating... thus confirming that his "amendment king" moniker really wasn't something that people admired.
I'll have to see if I can find that Barney Frank story and post it. It was very interesting.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
getagrip_already
(17,440 posts)His goal isn't to win. His goal is to destroy the democratic party so he can step in as the savior.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)...the super delegates that would give him the nomination, even though about 80% of them endorsed Clinton.
This year the super delegates don't vote on the first ballot, and Biden will have the magic 1991 by the middle of April.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
getagrip_already
(17,440 posts)It was bernie who demanded a change to superdelegate voting rules.
I guess he thought he was going to get to the vote leading with 30%.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
IronLionZion
(46,982 posts)shocking all the experts
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)Once someone takes the lead of about 200 pledged delegates, it is pretty much over. There is usually not enough time or enough big states to recover after that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)Biden should pass 1991 by mid-April, if not sooner.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
subana
(586 posts)I forget if Craig Melvin or Kasie interviewed him. They asked him about if he was going to end his campaign. The guy said they were plotting their course going forward & that there are some states where they could win. I forget the actual words he used but he made it sound like some states that have a large delegate count that could benefit him!
I thought, "where"? Most of the large delegate states have already voted. The only other I can think of is Florida & it's not at all likely that Bernie will win there!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)...the week after (Georgia). He has no chance in any of them. The others are NY and PA on April 28 (more than a month away) and the last is NJ who doesn't vote until JUNE!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
subana
(586 posts)they're just trying to paint a positive picture so that their fans won't lose hope. But I think it's already too late for him now!
He probably is hoping that NJ is good to him but by that time, even delegates from NJ won't be able to offer that much help!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(71,023 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
disndat
(1,887 posts)Less than 2 weeks ago, I was anguishing whether Joe has a chance. Now he has an insurmountable lead.
Plus he did it with it $0.0 campaign money after the New Hampshire primary.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden