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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:20 AM Mar 2020

538 forecast for Tuesday's four primaries:

State Biden/Sanders/Margin

Arizona 40.4/26.6/13.8
Florida 160.6/58.4/102.2
Illinois 97.2/57.8/39.4
Ohio 82.5/53.5/29.0
Total 380.7/196.3/184.4

Biden's delegate lead will increase by about 180 to a total of roughly 330.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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538 forecast for Tuesday's four primaries: (Original Post) George II Mar 2020 OP
So you're saying Bernie still has a chance? JaneQPublic Mar 2020 #1
Math and Map are both pointing downhill for Sanders NCProgressive Mar 2020 #2
That would put Biden at about 1280 delegates or so. MineralMan Mar 2020 #3
If they get to vote SCantiGOP Mar 2020 #4
Wow! Look at FLORIDA!! Bernie continues to CRATER!! His whole campaign is IMPLODING!! NurseJackie Mar 2020 #5
Do they now? 14 Senators have endorsed Biden, only 1 (Leahy) has endorsed Sanders. George II Mar 2020 #8
I guess he's not as popular as we've been often told. NurseJackie Mar 2020 #12
Remember bernie kept campaigning after Clinton got a plurality of delegates..... getagrip_already Mar 2020 #6
He was hoping (at least that's what Weaver told us) that they could get a super majority of... George II Mar 2020 #7
He will still find some excuse, but the irony here is that getagrip_already Mar 2020 #9
Just wait until Tulsi Gabbard pulls off a surprise upset IronLionZion Mar 2020 #10
From looking at the past few Democratic Primaries... Sloumeau Mar 2020 #11
There are 31 more primaries/caucuses. Biden is leading in EVERY single one of them... George II Mar 2020 #17
I saw one of Sander's people on MSNBC today subana Mar 2020 #13
There are only seven states remaining with more than 100 delegates - three vote next week and one... George II Mar 2020 #14
haha....that was pretty much my reaction too! subana Mar 2020 #16
K&R Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #15
I can't believe it. disndat Mar 2020 #18
 

JaneQPublic

(7,117 posts)
1. So you're saying Bernie still has a chance?
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:22 AM
Mar 2020

Sorry. Couldn't help the "Dumb and Dumber" reference.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

NCProgressive

(1,315 posts)
2. Math and Map are both pointing downhill for Sanders
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:23 AM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

MineralMan

(147,606 posts)
3. That would put Biden at about 1280 delegates or so.
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:25 AM
Mar 2020

He's moving up on that 1991 majority figure, it seems to me.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

SCantiGOP

(14,248 posts)
4. If they get to vote
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:28 AM
Mar 2020

How many people are going to see going to a voting site as risking their life? Especially older (i.e., likely Biden) voters.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
5. Wow! Look at FLORIDA!! Bernie continues to CRATER!! His whole campaign is IMPLODING!!
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:33 AM
Mar 2020

Will his colleagues respect him less after all this is over?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
8. Do they now? 14 Senators have endorsed Biden, only 1 (Leahy) has endorsed Sanders.
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:46 AM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
12. I guess he's not as popular as we've been often told.
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:59 AM
Mar 2020

I know that Hillary doesn't think much of him, she's said (recently in a HULU special) that nobody likes him and I also recently read an article (an older one) where Barney Frank was sharing his recollections about how Bernie's "tactics" would often gum-up the works and spoil things that others had worked long hours on... negotiating and shepherding and consolidating... thus confirming that his "amendment king" moniker really wasn't something that people admired.

I'll have to see if I can find that Barney Frank story and post it. It was very interesting.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

getagrip_already

(17,440 posts)
6. Remember bernie kept campaigning after Clinton got a plurality of delegates.....
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:34 AM
Mar 2020

His goal isn't to win. His goal is to destroy the democratic party so he can step in as the savior.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
7. He was hoping (at least that's what Weaver told us) that they could get a super majority of...
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:39 AM
Mar 2020

...the super delegates that would give him the nomination, even though about 80% of them endorsed Clinton.

This year the super delegates don't vote on the first ballot, and Biden will have the magic 1991 by the middle of April.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

getagrip_already

(17,440 posts)
9. He will still find some excuse, but the irony here is that
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:46 AM
Mar 2020

It was bernie who demanded a change to superdelegate voting rules.

I guess he thought he was going to get to the vote leading with 30%.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

IronLionZion

(46,982 posts)
10. Just wait until Tulsi Gabbard pulls off a surprise upset
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:47 AM
Mar 2020

shocking all the experts

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)
11. From looking at the past few Democratic Primaries...
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 10:52 AM
Mar 2020

Once someone takes the lead of about 200 pledged delegates, it is pretty much over. There is usually not enough time or enough big states to recover after that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
17. There are 31 more primaries/caucuses. Biden is leading in EVERY single one of them...
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:47 AM
Mar 2020

Biden should pass 1991 by mid-April, if not sooner.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

subana

(586 posts)
13. I saw one of Sander's people on MSNBC today
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:17 AM
Mar 2020

I forget if Craig Melvin or Kasie interviewed him. They asked him about if he was going to end his campaign. The guy said they were plotting their course going forward & that there are some states where they could win. I forget the actual words he used but he made it sound like some states that have a large delegate count that could benefit him!

I thought, "where"? Most of the large delegate states have already voted. The only other I can think of is Florida & it's not at all likely that Bernie will win there!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
14. There are only seven states remaining with more than 100 delegates - three vote next week and one...
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:25 AM
Mar 2020

...the week after (Georgia). He has no chance in any of them. The others are NY and PA on April 28 (more than a month away) and the last is NJ who doesn't vote until JUNE!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

subana

(586 posts)
16. haha....that was pretty much my reaction too!
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 11:35 AM
Mar 2020

they're just trying to paint a positive picture so that their fans won't lose hope. But I think it's already too late for him now!

He probably is hoping that NJ is good to him but by that time, even delegates from NJ won't be able to offer that much help!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

disndat

(1,887 posts)
18. I can't believe it.
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 01:42 PM
Mar 2020

Less than 2 weeks ago, I was anguishing whether Joe has a chance. Now he has an insurmountable lead.
Plus he did it with it $0.0 campaign money after the New Hampshire primary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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