Democratic Primaries

Thekaspervote

(34,664 posts) Thu Mar 12, 2020, 07:52 PM Mar 2020

Some REALLY Good News! Betting markets have Biden winning the GE

I’ve been following the betting market predictit.org for some time now.

Sanders never lead trump in forecast betting for the GE, in fact he always trailed trump by anywhere from 12-18 cents

Biden has been gaining since ST and passed trump in the last 48 hrs
Current bets on who will win the presidency, Biden 49 cents, trump 45 cents
Current bets on which party wins the WH: Dems 56 cents, gop 46 cents

Betting markets do look at trends, but are very accurate. As I often said to a couple of friends that really really liked to gamble- that casino was not built on your winnings!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

10 replies

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Some REALLY Good News! Betting markets have Biden winning the GE (Original Post) Thekaspervote Mar 2020 OP

Fingers crossed. But, you know they had Hillary winning, too mucifer Mar 2020 #1

My worry though is that their figures don't take into consideration woodsprite Mar 2020 #2

'Betting markets' are worth about the same as a pail of warm spit, imo!!! elleng Mar 2020 #3

You certainly are entitled to your opinion! Thekaspervote Mar 2020 #6

I have no need to spin it at all, elleng Mar 2020 #7

Rude! Thekaspervote Mar 2020 #8

'Enjoy your hobby' is RUDE??? elleng Mar 2020 #9

Yes, assumes no intellectual ability to extrapolate or digest hard facts Thekaspervote Mar 2020 #10

Hope they're right! Cha Mar 2020 #4

With complete shitshow in the stock market and economy IronLionZion Mar 2020 #5

mucifer

(24,841 posts)

1. Fingers crossed. But, you know they had Hillary winning, too

Reply to Thekaspervote (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 07:53 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

woodsprite

(12,203 posts)

2. My worry though is that their figures don't take into consideration

Reply to Thekaspervote (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 07:53 PM

Mar 2020

the Russian, Nigerian, and Ghana's meddling.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

elleng

(136,109 posts)

3. 'Betting markets' are worth about the same as a pail of warm spit, imo!!!

Reply to Thekaspervote (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 07:56 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Thekaspervote

(34,664 posts)

6. You certainly are entitled to your opinion!

Reply to elleng (Reply #3)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:07 PM

Mar 2020

I could post a half a dozen articles showing why betting markets are much more accurate.

But, even more than that, I am TRYING to give a positive spin on the Dems chances. Do you really have to spin it so negatively? Really?

Thanks....no thanks.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

elleng

(136,109 posts)

7. I have no need to spin it at all,

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #6)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:08 PM

Mar 2020

but enjoy your 'hobby.'

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Thekaspervote

(34,664 posts)

8. Rude!

Reply to elleng (Reply #7)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:09 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

elleng

(136,109 posts)

9. 'Enjoy your hobby' is RUDE???

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #8)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:11 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Thekaspervote

(34,664 posts)

10. Yes, assumes no intellectual ability to extrapolate or digest hard facts

Reply to elleng (Reply #9)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:23 PM

Mar 2020

Please just stop!

I’m trying to shed some positive light on a very difficult GE coming up.

Again you had your say.

This is why I and others go away from DU ....it just gets so it isn’t worth it

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(305,440 posts)

4. Hope they're right!

Reply to Thekaspervote (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:00 PM

Mar 2020

TY, Kasper!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

IronLionZion

(46,982 posts)

5. With complete shitshow in the stock market and economy

Reply to Thekaspervote (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:06 PM

Mar 2020

people are looking for new leadership. Biden offers battle hardened experienced and actually listens to advice from qualified experts.

I'll take a few gaffes if we can have stable sane leadership again.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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