Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(52,060 posts) Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:42 PM Mar 2020

Enten: Question isn't if Biden sweeps next primaries, but if Sanders can keep losses under 20 pts

Link to tweet

The question isn't whether Biden sweeps next week's contests. The question is whether Sanders can keep any state within 20 pts.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

8 replies

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Highlight:

Enten: Question isn't if Biden sweeps next primaries, but if Sanders can keep losses under 20 pts (Original Post) highplainsdem Mar 2020 OP

538 said that Sanders would need a 20-point surge just to stay competitive. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #1

They also forecast delegates awarded for each state, too. After the 4 states vote on Tuesday... George II Mar 2020 #2

My guess was the end of April TwilightZone Mar 2020 #3

In hindsight, eliminating the super delegates from the first ballot was a wise decision.... George II Mar 2020 #4

Seems like it. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #5

Pretty sure you'll get your hope. Cha Mar 2020 #6

If Bernie won't concede and drop out, I hope he suffers humiliating defeats... SidDithers Mar 2020 #7

sanders comments on Castro are hurting sanders Gothmog Mar 2020 #8

TwilightZone

(28,356 posts)

1. 538 said that Sanders would need a 20-point surge just to stay competitive.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 08:45 PM

Mar 2020

And even then it would still be uphill.

That kind of puts it in perspective.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

2. They also forecast delegates awarded for each state, too. After the 4 states vote on Tuesday...

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #1)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 09:00 PM

Mar 2020

...they forecast a Biden lead of 366 delegates (1293-927)

After March 29 it'll be up to 432 (1403-971)

After the caucus in Guam, on May 2, Biden will cross the magical 1991 line.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TwilightZone

(28,356 posts)

3. My guess was the end of April

Reply to George II (Reply #2)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 09:02 PM

Mar 2020

So, not too far off.

Part of me hopes that Sanders stays in until 1991. That would close the door on a lot of what-ifs and if-onlys and leave fewer reasons for his supporters to behave poorly at the convention.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

George II

(67,782 posts)

4. In hindsight, eliminating the super delegates from the first ballot was a wise decision....

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #3)

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 09:17 PM

Mar 2020

...the super delegates were a contentious element in Weaver's refusal to concede, "we're going to get enough SDs to gain the nomination".

Ain't gonna happen this time.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden