Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBernie would become a national hero today
If, given the math, he were to step aside and help unite the party against historys most dangerous president during a crisis.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redstatebluegirl
(12,482 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
LiberalFighter
(53,475 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Peregrine Took
(7,504 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)I don't think he should drop out until he wrings some good policy changes out of Biden and the DNC.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(13,538 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)He's forecast to win two or three of the remaining contests, total. In many of the others, he's down by more than 20 points, including all of the big-delegate states left like PA and FL. He's down nearly 20 points in the national polls.
538 says he'd need a 20-point surge across the board immediately just to remain competitive and it would still be almost impossible to make up the difference.
The race is over.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
True Blue American
(18,166 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dware
(14,322 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jarqui
(10,490 posts)Recent polls
March 17 primaries All States Bernie lost to Hillary
AZ Biden +28
AZ Biden +17
IL Biden +21
IL Biden +38
FL Biden +38
FL Biden +41
FL Biden +44
FL Biden +55
OH Biden +22
March 24 primaries State Bernie lost to Hillary
GA Biden +18.5 (two polls)
At this point, Bernie's going to be down about 2.5 million votes and 300-400 delegates
After March 24 primaries (latest polls)
PA Biden +28 State Bernie lost to Hillary
DE Biden +38 State Bernie lost to Hillary
WI Biden +16 State Bernie won over Hillary
KS Biden +24 State Bernie won over Hillary
MD Biden heavily favored because of large black vote, Bernie lost MD in 2016
LA Biden heavily favored because of large black vote, Bernie lost LA in 2016
Beyond this, there are not large (over 100 delegates) states outstanding that Bernie won in 2016. His biggest win for the remaining states was 44-39 in Indiana (5 delegates net) or by delegates won Alaska 13-3 (+10 delegates). There's not enough realistic real estate left for Bernie to come back.
National Biden +19 (poll of polls)
I'll let Nate take it from here:
Link to tweet
This is past the point of stick a fork in him. It's time to remove the fork and move on.
Bernie wants to earn negotiation points with Biden. Here's the negotiation:
"It's Biden or Trump. Take your pick."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Thekaspervote
(34,666 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Pachamama
(17,014 posts)But he clearly isnt a hero, is he?
He has no path to victory and yet he keeps the fantasy revolution alive....
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
el_bryanto
(11,804 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
dware
(14,322 posts)there is disagreement on whether he is electable, but no hate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Aaron Pereira
(383 posts)The purpose of a primary is an airing of issues, a chance for rank and file voters to have their say in all states and to test the endurance of fitness of our candidates. We have a long way to go.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Tumbulu
(6,448 posts)memories of his kind of guy from the 60-70s whose attitude towards women was that we were useful for clerical help and free sex because our lives were so much easier than theirs. They were the purists fighting the man and we had life so so easy. We owed it to them.
Evidence is his personal life from those days.
I hate him all right. For stealing power from his landlord with dangerous extension chords, for leaving the mother of his kid stuck navigating the welfare system. For not working to support them.
But I was a Warren supporter until she dropped out. At least she had plans. And she worked for a living before going into politics unlike creep bernie. Oh yes, I loath him! And if you think that once those stories are blasted around in ads the toxic effects of his lifelong selfishness wont turn the regular public off, you are naive.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Freddie
(9,696 posts)Dated one for a while. The hippie ethos of everybody free and equal didnt extend to us cooks and bed warmers. That was eons ago and Ive been with my husband (who is NOT like that) for 40 years but thinking about it still pisses me off. Never thought about it til now, but thats why I have a personal dislike of BS. And hearing that he was probably a disappearing deadbeat dad to his son just confirms it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
blm
(113,822 posts)Biden should be open and receptive enough to adopting some measures right there. Biden and Sanders were always collegial so, it should be considered a possibility.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)no one has done more to mainstream the idea of single payer healthcare, and that will save millions of lives, eventually.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
RandySF
(70,652 posts)He may not even get re-elected in Vermont.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to ProfessorPlum (Reply #9)
Butterflylady This message was self-deleted by its author.
dware
(14,322 posts)he's widely recognized as a man with integrity, but he's no hero.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)he is a hero to millions of Americans, and will be remembered for fighting for working people all the while the entire elite establishment fought against and ridiculed him.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
dware
(14,322 posts)Uh oh, there's that word, "establishment".
I guess that ends the conversation.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dware
(14,322 posts)than Sen. Sanders has done for this country his whole life.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
dware
(14,322 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
True Blue American
(18,166 posts)Why isnt he winning?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(120,903 posts)since the Truman administration. And Warren did at least as much to promote it as Bernie did.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)and Sanders has been pushing it in two consecutive big national races. Warren's support is also welcome.
Biden should adopt it as well.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
TwilightZone
(28,833 posts)Conyers introduced Medicare for All in 2003 and introduced it every year for the next 15.
Sanders 2017 bill was a parallel of that bill. 14 years later.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ProfessorPlum
(11,365 posts)Presidential runs have the power to really change national dialog. And Conyers and _everyone_ fighting for single payer deserve credit. But again, no one has done more to bring the idea into the national dialog, especially in the last decade, than Sanders.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)........................................................
Warren's restraint may have lost her the battle, but has earned her a tremendous amount of respect from her colleagues. Warren allies say that, coupled with her fundraising for candidates across the Democratic party spectrum, is what has helped to keep her relevant within the conferencethough thousands of avid supporters willing to put their votes and their dollars behind her ideology, and against those who oppose her, don't hurt either.
That's helped Warren to continue to hold outsized sway over the conversation among Democratic policymakers in Washington, particularly for a freshman. "Democrats in Congress were talking about cutting Social Security in 2012, and Warren got 42 of 44 Democrats to vote yes on expanding Social Security benefits instead," Adam Green, cofounder of the Progressive Campaign Change Committee said in a statement.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/05/is-elizabeth-warren-an-effective-senator/449349/
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
The CFPB accomplished more that all the talking Sanders has done in 30+ years as a career politician on Capitol Hill. She lapped him even before she got elected to the Senate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Happy Hoosier
(8,405 posts)He will seriously damage his reputation. People will feel compelled to go to the polls, almost certainly accelerating the spread of the virus in the primary states. And for WHAT? His fucking ego.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Just_Vote_Dem
(3,135 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(51,705 posts)other than that...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
True Blue American
(18,166 posts)And would have succeeded, except for 3 lousy Senators, Lieberman, Baucus and Grassley.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LizBeth
(10,823 posts)Many of us are already there. Not something to give a pat on the back about. It should be a given, expected.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Squinch
(52,770 posts)demolished in all the upcoming primaries and annoy everyone who wants to get on with the business of defeating Filthy Donnie. If he does this, he will lose whatever relevance he has left.
The first choice would be the smart one.
Guess which one he will pick?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
polichick
(37,625 posts)not to fuck up.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Polybius
(17,868 posts)I absolutely need to see this debate. The country needs it. We have no sports.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
dansolo
(5,385 posts)What are you expecting to occur in the debate that will so dramatically change the detection the primaries are going?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Polybius
(17,868 posts)I have no sports to watch. This is gonna be damn good. I enjoy all debates.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
showblue22
(1,026 posts)This is going to be Bernie's last debate perhaps in his life. Bernie supporters want Bernie to go hard negative on Biden. Biden is who he is a statesman, a good decent man. People all over the world love Joe. If Bernie does it, he will be energizing Biden's base and if he does't, he will disappoint his. I'm excited to watch it for sure.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)And now my beloved baseball has been suspended.
This virus is REALLY starting to get on my nerves.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Polybius
(17,868 posts)Give me some sport to watch, anything. Just not UFC, not really into fighting.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)My elderly father in FL relied heavily on sports to ease his loneliness since his second wife just passed away last year. Now that's all gone.
He has airline reservations to visit my brother and I out here in AZ next month and now that is in serious jeopardy. I had some real nice seats close to the field for a D-backs game against the AL champs Astros I was really looking forward to taking him to...those may end up getting refunded now. Seems like a lot of fuss over just a "hoax".
None of this may have been necessary if we had a federal government that actually knew WTF it was doing or a POTUS who gave a shit about anybody but himself.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RazBerryBeret
(3,075 posts)i haven't voted yet, Ohio votes on tuesday.
Most of the country hasn't voted yet, why do you want to take away our voices?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
samnsara
(18,282 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SamKnause
(13,806 posts)Bernie will decide when the time is right.
He is an honorable man and I trust him.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
still_one
(96,555 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gulliver
(13,329 posts)Then he and Biden should spend the rest of the debate talking about Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden