Democratic Primaries

demtenjeep

(31,997 posts) Wed Mar 18, 2020, 12:35 AM Mar 2020

when can the super delegates start trowing them in to help Joe go over the top

I want to lock it in soon

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

8 replies

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when can the super delegates start trowing them in to help Joe go over the top (Original Post) demtenjeep Mar 2020 OP

Only if he doesn't get enough delegates on the first ballot. The Velveteen Ocelot Mar 2020 #1

Second round of voting at convention SiliconValley_Dem Mar 2020 #2

Yep Aquaria Mar 2020 #3

Magic number is still 1991 (non-super) delegates jxla Mar 2020 #4

that might change. ucrdem Mar 2020 #6

I don't think there is anything stopping them from pledging now. boston bean Mar 2020 #5

they already do this Celerity Mar 2020 #8

As of now, they don't vote until the second ballot. MineralMan Mar 2020 #7

The Velveteen Ocelot

(121,014 posts)

1. Only if he doesn't get enough delegates on the first ballot.

Reply to demtenjeep (Original post)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 12:36 AM

Mar 2020

But he probably will.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

SiliconValley_Dem

(1,656 posts)

2. Second round of voting at convention

Reply to demtenjeep (Original post)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 01:16 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Aquaria

(1,076 posts)

3. Yep

Reply to SiliconValley_Dem (Reply #2)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 02:06 AM

Mar 2020

They don't come into play unless there's a second ballot.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

jxla

(226 posts)

4. Magic number is still 1991 (non-super) delegates

Reply to demtenjeep (Original post)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 04:42 AM

Mar 2020

Joe has not yet racked up the necessary delegates to lock in the nomination.

Primaries are the only way to get there before the Convention.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ucrdem

(15,714 posts)

6. that might change.

Reply to jxla (Reply #4)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 06:36 AM

Mar 2020

coronavirus.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

boston bean

(36,495 posts)

5. I don't think there is anything stopping them from pledging now.

Reply to demtenjeep (Original post)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 06:34 AM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Celerity

(46,286 posts)

8. they already do this

Reply to boston bean (Reply #5)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 08:40 AM

Mar 2020

they just cannot vote until a 2nd ballot, so their pledge is basically meaningless unless Biden fails to hit 1991 (which is not going to happen, he will end up with 2400 or more I think, on the first ballot)

here is a running SD count

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_2020_Democratic_Party_automatic_delegates

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

MineralMan

(147,623 posts)

7. As of now, they don't vote until the second ballot.

Reply to demtenjeep (Original post)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 08:33 AM

Mar 2020

However, nothing is stopping any of them from declaring their support for a candidate and endorsing that candidate. There are 774/5 of the super delegates, and a vast majority of them would vote for Biden on the second ballot. In reality, Biden's magic number isn't 1991. it's lower than that, since the lack of a majority would send it to a second ballot, where Biden would be certain to win.

In addition, other candidates who have withdrawn can release their delegates and direct them to vote for Biden on the first ballot, since those candidates won't have enough delegates to be nominated at the convention.

The primary campaign has essentially ended, and Biden will be the Democratic nominee. 99.9% certainty of that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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