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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

William769

(55,830 posts)
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:05 PM Mar 2020

Two political handicappers say the Electoral College map now leans toward Democrats

(CNN)In the past five days, two of the most prominent non-partisan political analysts in the country have released new projections that show presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden with a clear edge over President Donald Trump in the Electoral College map.

"The President is an underdog now in his bid for a second term," wrote Stu Rothenberg, founder of the Rothenberg Political Report, in a column published late last week. "That doesn't mean he can't win. It simply means that he is in a more difficult place than he was before, in part because Democrats have united behind a consensus candidate who has potentially broad appeal."

"Biden starts with a slight lead in the Electoral College math. Right now, 232 electoral votes sit in Lean/Likely or Solid Democrat. On the GOP side, 204 electoral votes are in the Lean/Likely/Solid Republican column. There are six states (and one congressional district) in Toss-Up: Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska's 2nd district. Those add up to 102 Electoral votes."

Before we dig too deeply into those numbers, let's remember where we left things in 2016. Trump won 306 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton's 232 -- even as he was losing the popular vote by almost 3 million. (You need to win 270 electoral to be elected president.)

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/23/politics/electoral-college-2020-donald-trump-joe-biden/index.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Two political handicappers say the Electoral College map now leans toward Democrats (Original Post) William769 Mar 2020 OP
Too bad we have to wait until November. As Chris Cuomo would say, "Let's get after it!" George II Mar 2020 #1
Every time this idiot speaks on national TV, his numbers and respect goes down. Pathetic. SWBTATTReg Mar 2020 #2
I'm ok with that. William769 Mar 2020 #9
If Trump doesn't kill us first. RandySF Mar 2020 #3
I just watched his press briefing William769 Mar 2020 #7
It's good news, but it's also an eternity to November Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2020 #4
Of course it's an eternity. without hope, what do we have? William769 Mar 2020 #8
Add these states to concentrate on for Senate seats: Funtatlaguy Mar 2020 #5
Steady as you GO Joe! Cha Mar 2020 #6
It all depends upon what happens to the candidates losing the primary NCProgressive Mar 2020 #10
If you are implying Sanders would run 3rd party - I doubt it, seriously Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2020 #12
K&R Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #11
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
1. Too bad we have to wait until November. As Chris Cuomo would say, "Let's get after it!"
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:08 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

SWBTATTReg

(24,116 posts)
2. Every time this idiot speaks on national TV, his numbers and respect goes down. Pathetic.
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:08 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

RandySF

(70,652 posts)
3. If Trump doesn't kill us first.
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:09 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

William769

(55,830 posts)
7. I just watched his press briefing
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:26 PM
Mar 2020

He's about to make this pandemic worse for us.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,945 posts)
4. It's good news, but it's also an eternity to November
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:11 PM
Mar 2020

This year is going to get crazier before it gets saner, and the longer this crisis continues, the more structural damage will be done to the economy.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

William769

(55,830 posts)
8. Of course it's an eternity. without hope, what do we have?
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:28 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Funtatlaguy

(11,793 posts)
5. Add these states to concentrate on for Senate seats:
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:21 PM
Mar 2020

Maine, Colorado, Iowa, Montana, Georgia (2).

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Cha

(305,440 posts)
6. Steady as you GO Joe!
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:25 PM
Mar 2020

Thank you, William!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

NCProgressive

(1,315 posts)
10. It all depends upon what happens to the candidates losing the primary
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:59 PM
Mar 2020

If they overtly or covertly support third party, it will be a struggle. I doubt any real Democrats would do so however.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,945 posts)
12. If you are implying Sanders would run 3rd party - I doubt it, seriously
Tue Mar 24, 2020, 10:03 AM
Mar 2020

He wants Trump defeated.

The bigger danger would be someone - an independent just right-of-center (i.e. to the left of Trump but to the right of Biden) running independently as "a candidate to unify both sides." Bloomberg would have been a good fit for that role, but he has signaled he will support Dems. Larry Hogan doesn't want to leave the Republican Party, and refused to primary Trump. Mark Cuban has all the qualifications - rich, Trump's equal in front of the camera, and young (younger, anyway), but he does not seem interested in the job.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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