Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBiden holds 3-point edge over Trump in White House race: poll
A new national poll points to an extremely close contest between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden as the race for the White House shifts to a likely general election battle between the two.
Biden, the former vice president and all-but-certain 2020 Democratic presidential nominee, stands at 48 percent support among registered voters nationwide in a Monmouth University poll, with the GOP incumbent at 45 percent. Bidens slight 3-point edge over Trump is within the polls sampling error, meaning the race is roughly tied between the two candidates.
Three percent said they would vote for an independent candidate in Novembers general election, and 4 percent said they were undecided in the survey, which was conducted March 18-22 and released on Tuesday.
According to the poll, the president enjoys a nearly 2-to-1 margin over Biden in the 2,500 solidly red counties that Trump overwhelming won four years ago over 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. In the 360 solidly blue counties where Clinton crushed Trump, Biden is up by a 2-to-1 margin. But in the approximately 300 swing counties where the margins in the 2016 presidential election were 10 points or less, Biden tops Trump 50-41 percent.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/biden-holds-3-point-edge-over-trump-in-white-house-race-poll/ar-BB11DUoy?li=BBnb7Kz
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dopers_Greed
(2,647 posts)Due to Trump's plague bump
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Mystery sage
(580 posts)Just saying.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(96,555 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Fiendish Thingy
(18,534 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/
Biden over the top without FL, IA & NC filled in...all states Joe has a legitimate shot of winning to one degree or another.
Her map looks pretty much like I had envisioned...sure hope she nailed it this time.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jakes Progress
(11,177 posts)That there are that many ignorant and or mean and or greedy people in the country.
If the American people actually believed in what America stands for, trump wouldn't have 5%.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)"I'm so proud of him," she said, while I was in the chair down the hall awaiting a cleaning. The office is so empty you can hear everything.
Apparently Trump said something about not blaming the Chinese for the virus. That's why she's so proud of him. I almost pulled the bib off and walked out the door. I'm thinking all this bigoted divisive stuff year after year and they don't hear any of it, but one forced comment and they swallow it and bow.
Then my dentist reacted to her comment: "He'll definitely be re-elected now."
I don't know my dentist's politics. For the second time I nearly walked out the door. Then I calmed down and realized this is the typical bump for an incumbent during a crisis. For a normal president it would be a double digit spike, for this guy just a few.
However, no question Biden would have been better off if the virus never happened. Swing voters look for any excuse to remain with the incumbent. Some of this basic stuff like delaying the tax date will be credited to Trump.
We're looking at another razor tight outcome either way
And yes, I went through with the cleaning even though everybody was telling me to cancel. I went back and forth on the decision. My dentist said she is calling elderly patients and telling them to cancel. With everybody else they are surprised the percentage of cancellations is so high. I was the last patient of the day with a 2:30 appointment. She said the next two days are totally empty then she has some maintained appointments for Friday.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(13,538 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mvd
(65,454 posts)I tried to get in today because my mouth has been bothering me, but the dentist said she wasnt even allowed to take emergencies. Luckily I am feeling better.
I think Biden will be fine. People will hopefully realize that it is state and local officials that have done the right things. Trump has done all he can to make things worse.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
enough
(13,456 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
William769
(55,830 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
kurtcagle
(2,321 posts)I'm here in Washington, watching as we go into total lockdown. Trump's credibility is going to start taking a beating as covid-19 continues its way into the red states, especially as he has no real authority to override the governors at this point and his promises continue to remain empty, while Biden's doing the right thing by remaining visible and authoritative.
It's possible by the 12th of April (Easter, when Trump thinks that easing can happen) that Washington State will be past the worst of this. We instituted distancing protocols earliest, and they have become progressively more restrictive, but I'd be surprised if Inslee declared an all-clear at that point. Meanwhile, I expect that states like Missouri, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi, Kansas, Iowa, and the Dakotas will likely be really just entering the window, and won't be out of it until July at the earliest.
I also think that Trump's free daily advertising is going to stop within the next couple of weeks as he wears out his welcome on the various news channels. Once that happens, he'll become a lot less visible, while I suspect that Biden and Bloomberg may be working on an advertising blitz once the coronavirus does finally settle out.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(34,666 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SergeStorms
(19,312 posts)Or disenfranchising enough minority voters in key states.
WHAT THE FUCK IS THE MATTER WITH PEOPLE IN THIS STUPID COUNTRY?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thegoose
(3,115 posts)This is how Hitler happened.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Sloumeau
(2,657 posts)That is where the win will happen.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(34,666 posts)Heres another pollster thats gaining traction
His poll average Biden an 11 pt lead
https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/presidential-forecast/
In the Monmouth poll as mentioned 300 swing counties where trump won, Biden holds a 9 pt lead, 50 to 41.
And this just today from Dr. Rachael Bitecofer
Link to tweet
?s=21
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(13,538 posts)And national polls mean nothing to me; show me state by state
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)about 40% of our country is either certifiably insane or are full-blown fucking fascists.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Turin_C3PO
(15,922 posts)If you would have asked me in 2015 what percentage of Americans would vote for an incompetent fascist like Trump, I would have guessed 10%. Im so disappointed in my fellow Americans.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)who I am estranged from to one degree or another. I'm sure many or even most others here do as well.
Trump is like an acid that dissolves peoples' outer facades away and it often isn't very pleasant what gets revealed underneath.
Will be hard to forget who is who even after that rotten SOB is long gone.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden