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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

William769

(55,857 posts)
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 08:46 AM Apr 2020

Biden poised for Wisconsin blowout

Bernie Sanders was riding high in Wisconsin just six weeks ago, powered by a double-digit polling lead and the widespread belief that he’d sail to victory just as he did in 2016.

Now, Democratic activists and operatives on the ground expect Sanders to lose big in the crucial Midwestern swing state — a defeat that would likely lead to a deafening chorus of Democratic voices demanding he drop out of the race.

“Up until Biden got his mojo going, it was presumed Sanders would win the state again,” said Patrick Guarasci, a Milwaukee-based Democratic strategist. “He was the most organized here, he had the most vibrant following. A lot has changed in the last month.”

Sanders’ reversal in fortune — the latest Marquette Law School poll shows Sanders trailing Joe Biden by nearly 30-points — comes after a consolidation of Democratic support behind Biden. It’s the same dynamic that lifted the former vice president to victory across 14 states on Super Tuesday then again in a handful of big states that followed.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/biden-poised-for-wisconsin-blowout/ar-BB1275Mo?ocid=msedgdhp

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

exboyfil

(18,023 posts)
1. Sanders has shown many of the personality traits
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 08:50 AM
Apr 2020

that terrify us about Trump. I wish it was somebody besides these two, but you play the hand you are dealt.

I got to think the disruption for the students who do does weigh down Sanders performance. On the other hand it is long past time for him to exit the stage.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
8. Thank you.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 10:20 AM
Apr 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

MineralMan

(147,885 posts)
3. Well, we'll find out after the April 7 primary election there.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 08:55 AM
Apr 2020

Turnout will not be as high as it might be, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but mailed-in and other absentee ballots are at record highs in my neighboring state. The election will take place, even if many voters stay away from the polls.

Some, including the Sanders campaign, want the election delayed, but it's unlikely that conditions will improve, in terms of health concerns. Our elections, including primary elections must take place. Some states have delayed theirs, and will be mailing out ballots to allow their citizens to vote without going to a polling place.

Wisconsin, on the other hand, cannot delay its election, since a number of state and local elections are involved, many with short periods before newly elected officials take office.

So, the election will happen, and we will see the results in due time.

Primary elections have a long history of having lower turnout than general elections. Results are a measure of those who do turn out and vote, one way or another.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
4. 538 forecasts about 50 delegates for Biden, 35 for Sanders, opening the lead to 315.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 08:56 AM
Apr 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

William769

(55,857 posts)
5. Is there a possibility that margin could be wider?
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 09:00 AM
Apr 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Tetrachloride

(8,482 posts)
6. Turn out will vary. My guess is wider. Here's why:
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 09:07 AM
Apr 2020

If Bernie's support is among the young, then the lack of University students will drive down Bernie's numbers.

Meanwhile, in my suburban Madison neighborhood, social distance is fairly good, except at supermarkets. Supermarkets are more uneven.

Madison people: your voting locations. https://cityofmadison.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=b8e42f700bd1419daaa06667ee421dbc

Wisconsin Supreme Court race is at stake.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
13. Also, we know older voters always turn out through rain and snow
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 11:23 AM
Apr 2020

in higher percentages than younger. The virus is just another handleable adversity.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Indykatie

(3,853 posts)
16. Wisc Has an Open Primary. Do You Think Some GOP Will Cross Over and Vote for Bernie? n/t
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 11:53 AM
Apr 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
10. I think it will be wider, but we won't know until a week later, mail in voting has been extended.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 10:46 AM
Apr 2020

538 updates their forecasts each day. In the last week Biden's delegate count forecast has increased by 70 to 1110 for the remaining primaries. Sanders' has been static.

Their forecast of the final count is now 2335 vs. 1442, +893 delegates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

William769

(55,857 posts)
12. Good to know. Thank you.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 10:48 AM
Apr 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
14. "Sanders' has been static." Very interesting.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 11:29 AM
Apr 2020

May be revolution's also been cancelled due to pandemic. That would be expected, actually.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

la-trucker

(283 posts)
11. Even if he loses 100:0 he won't drop out
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 10:48 AM
Apr 2020

He will continue to say "we're winning the battle of ideas" by clinging on to some vaguely worded exit poll.

It is hard to disembark from a gravy train.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
15. 100% Sanders will credit everything we do to himself. SOP.
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 11:31 AM
Apr 2020

But I think he really believes it. We start from 0 as Dem'dRepubs in his mind, so how else could he explain it?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Cha

(305,763 posts)
17. Excellent and I hope it follows
Fri Apr 3, 2020, 05:50 PM
Apr 2020

through like the other states where the Democratic Party wants to WIN.

No time for anything else.

Mahalo, Bill

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Response to William769 (Original post)

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