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TexasTowelie

(116,812 posts) Mon Sep 23, 2024, 04:43 PM Sep 23

New poll shows no clear leader in presidential race within battleground states - CNN

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten and Jake Tapper discuss recent polling in battleground states and the issues many voters are watching closely ahead of the presidential election.

12 replies

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New poll shows no clear leader in presidential race within battleground states - CNN (Original Post) TexasTowelie Sep 23 OP

In large part due to the NYT (Trump rag) polls Mr.WeRP Sep 23 #1

Their polling should not be quickly dismissed ColinC Sep 23 #2

It actually should DarthDem Sep 23 #10

It's a scientific poll. It's worth something ColinC Sep 23 #12

media needs a horserace RealFloridaDem Sep 23 #3

PA will go to Harris by 5 lees1975 Sep 23 #4

Enten says this race is too close to call, ya think? rogerballard Sep 23 #5

We have 300M people in this country and 400M polls. 😁😁 Wonder Why Sep 23 #6

And the only poll that has ever contacted me is Civics padfun Sep 23 #9

To quote the chair of the Democractic Party of Wisconsin. nycbos Sep 23 #7

Cross tabs are ridiculous WSHazel Sep 23 #8

This morning on Morning Joe Micheal Steele prodicted Harris will take NC, Ga and Florida. doc03 Sep 23 #11

Mr.WeRP

(574 posts)

1. In large part due to the NYT (Trump rag) polls

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 04:46 PM

Sep 23

NYT has lost all credibility.

ColinC

(10,705 posts)

2. Their polling should not be quickly dismissed

Reply to Mr.WeRP (Reply #1)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 04:50 PM

Sep 23

But has seemed to stick out in some outlier ways

DarthDem

(5,364 posts)

10. It actually should

Reply to ColinC (Reply #2)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 06:28 PM

Sep 23

It's narrative-pushing garbage. But no one in the Harris camp is taking anything for granted.

ColinC

(10,705 posts)

12. It's a scientific poll. It's worth something

Reply to DarthDem (Reply #10)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 06:52 PM

Sep 23

Again probably an outlier but definitely worth something -if nothing else it can confirm a trend if there is one. I think they are virtually identical to the ones released last month so if you throw them into the average they don’t actually impact the narrative at all.

RealFloridaDem

(21 posts)

3. media needs a horserace

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 04:53 PM

Sep 23

Its indeniable that if you're harris you are feeling good abt:

Michigan
NC
Nevada

that's 273

Harris and team probably less confident abt PA, AZ, and GA. In fact, I don't think GA will factor because they may never count the votes

If your trump, even though ur up, you cannot be thrilled with TX and FL

lees1975

(5,962 posts)

4. PA will go to Harris by 5

Reply to RealFloridaDem (Reply #3)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 04:54 PM

Sep 23

Bet on it. AZ by 2, WI by 5.

This is CNN. Ratings are in the tank.

rogerballard

(3,838 posts)

5. Enten says this race is too close to call, ya think?

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 05:04 PM

Sep 23

I am thinking young voter and Latino turnout among other groups. Key is massive voter turnout.

Wonder Why

(4,589 posts)

6. We have 300M people in this country and 400M polls. 😁😁

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 05:05 PM

Sep 23

padfun

(1,856 posts)

9. And the only poll that has ever contacted me is Civics

Reply to Wonder Why (Reply #6)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 05:34 PM

Sep 23

nycbos

(6,351 posts)

7. To quote the chair of the Democractic Party of Wisconsin.

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 05:07 PM

Sep 23

The margin of effort will win the election. We must assume the race is tied or we are a little behind. Keep making calls, keep knocking on doors, etc A few votes per precinct decided 2020 in several swing states.

ALL GAS NO BRAKE

WSHazel

(278 posts)

8. Cross tabs are ridiculous

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Sep 23, 2024, 05:19 PM

Sep 23

There is no way 48% of Hispanic voters support Donald Trump, and 17% of Black voters for Trump is a stretch too. You couldn't get a single polling expert to bet even $100 on Trump getting 48% of Hispanic voters in the Sun Belt states.

Throw this poll in the garbage.

doc03

(36,709 posts)

11. This morning on Morning Joe Micheal Steele prodicted Harris will take NC, Ga and Florida.