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Jarqui

(10,864 posts)
8. Calculating the odds
Mon Aug 28, 2023, 12:53 PM
Aug 2023

Fewer than 1% of federal criminal defendants were acquitted in 2022
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/06/14/fewer-than-1-of-defendants-in-federal-criminal-cases-were-acquitted-in-2022/

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/06/11/only-2-of-federal-criminal-defendants-go-to-trial-and-most-who-do-are-found-guilty/

Roughly 10% of Federal indictments fail to convict.
Roughly, 20% of state indictments fail to convict.

The chances of two Federal and two State indictments failing to convict is around 0.04%

Might be higher with Trump's defen$e team & who Trump is.
Might be lower due to 91 felonies and the quality of indictments & evidence they have.

No mater how one slices it, it is very unlikely Trump will avoid a felony conviction


Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Nice list. Thanks. NNadir Aug 2023 #1
Election Interference? ProudMNDemocrat Aug 2023 #2
What.. no break for golf??? agingdem Aug 2023 #3
Convicted felon by next Summer Johnny2X2X Aug 2023 #4
This is going to really cut into his Tee Time. sellitman Aug 2023 #5
Way busier calendar than he was President. n/t Captain Stern Aug 2023 #6
And everyone knows he'll say "This is why I lost!!" "I'm a victim!!" chowder66 Aug 2023 #7
Calculating the odds Jarqui Aug 2023 #8
That means about a 95 to 98% chance that he does some time. lastlib Aug 2023 #13
it's about 75% that do time Jarqui Aug 2023 #14
Load him up! calimary Aug 2023 #9
Plenty of open days available. sarge43 Aug 2023 #10
Where... NowISeetheLight Aug 2023 #11
Ha! Great minds think alike! fierywoman Aug 2023 #12
He can have all the "executive time" he wants in the "Big House" lastlib Aug 2023 #16
K&R. William769 Aug 2023 #15
Kick. Rec. Bookmark. Hekate Aug 2023 #17
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