General Discussion

Oath Keepers, Proud boys, fake electors, filthy Rudy, Mark Meadows, and the REST will either be heading to jail, or on trial. His puppet-master putin can only help him so much this time around, as he's slowly having his ass kicked by Ukraine. IF, and I say IF Dems, women, the young get out to vote, game over. There are more of us than maggots. How can he steal Michigan? Wisconsin? Pennsylvania? He needs most if not ALL of those swing states to win the presidency. IF, yes IF the same people who got out to murder that BIG, FAKE MAGA RED WAVE this past midterm VOTE, HE'S done. He's probably not going to make it to 2024. You see how unhinged that bastard's becoming? He said that Jeb Bush started the Iraq war, that he ran vs Pres. Obama in 2016, and that he has to stop Biden from starting WWll? Who knew Jeb Started the Iraq War. Pres. Biden makes ONE slip up, and the mostly corporate, greedy for ad dollars to put into their pocket's media goes crazy. Dems are also doing well in off-year elections which has never happened that I can remember.

Trump is weaker among independents than Republicans in primary polls.

That doesn’t mean, however, that Trump doesn’t have potential vulnerabilities. Primary polling suggests that Trump is not performing as well among Republican-leaning independents and unaffiliated voters who plan to vote in the GOP nomination race as he is among self-identified Republicans. And past Republican presidential primaries have demonstrated that independent voters can make up a significant chunk of the electorate in early voting states and, if their preferences differ markedly from Republicans, can influence outcomes.

To be clear, Trump usually leads among independent voters in primary polls — just by smaller margins than he does among self-identified Republicans. In what may be an obvious point, his large advantage among Republicans matters a great deal considering far more Republicans will vote in the GOP contest than independents (or Democrats, for that matter). During the competitive periods of the 2008, 2012 and 2016 Republican presidential primaries, around 70 to 75 percent of primary and caucus voters identified as Republican, according to ABC News’s aggregate exit poll data, while about 20 to 25 percent identified as independent or something else (5 percent or fewer identified as Democrats). But if the Republican race does tighten in the next few months, the preferences of independent voters could matter, particularly in New Hampshire, which has one of the largest blocs of unaffiliated voters of any state in the country.

https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-weaker-independents-republicans-primary-polls/story?id=103380864

I don't trust ANY of these corporate news media outfits or 538. But this article is worth a read, because every now and then you do have ONE journalist telling the truth.

How outlier polls happen — and what to do with them
Any one poll is subject to error. That's why we have an average.


https://abcnews.go.com/538/outlier-polls-happen/story?id=103463726