General Discussion

Deek1935

(1,055 posts)

14. Um, no. The polls are virtually meaningless. What do they now show? A CLOSE RACE and NOTHING else.

Fri Jul 26, 2024, 08:05 PM

Jul 2024

Last edited Sat Jul 27, 2024, 07:48 AM - Edit history (1)

The election is months away. It's all non predictive. It's all just a snapshot. It's all within the margins of error. It all shows a statistical tie. Pretty much the same as before with some slight movement. They go up, they go down, bla bla bla. Totally non predictive of what will happen on election day. Polls, age, debates, VP picks, and campaign tricks don't matter. Doesn't hurt to have more "enthusiasm" but at the end of the day it is a referendum mainly on the GOVERNING STRENGTH of the White House party.

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Just to clarify: have people decided they like polls again? [View all] brooklynite Jul 2024 OP

Make a poll dweller Jul 2024 #1

Touche... brooklynite Jul 2024 #2

allez dweller Jul 2024 #11

Nice. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #4

The ones where our candidates are ahead are accurate. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #3

Who has said that? Elessar Zappa Jul 2024 #26

It's human nature to react this way to good/bad news. Funtatlaguy Jul 2024 #28

True. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #33

Not a particular fan of individual polls, especially ones with flawed methodology that consistently produce outliers Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #5

That is the answer Ohio Joe Jul 2024 #12

People tend to like polls when they favor or trend to favor their candidate, elocs Jul 2024 #6

This. obnoxiousdrunk Jul 2024 #17

No, they are still garbage getagrip_already Jul 2024 #7

Not I. WheelWalker Jul 2024 #8

I love watching the discomfort of Fox anchors having to report positive polls for Harris--especially in the battleground hlthe2b Jul 2024 #9

I'm still in the same place on them so it makes it easy. TheKentuckian Jul 2024 #10

Polls are just a tool LostOne4Ever Jul 2024 #13

Um, no. The polls are virtually meaningless. What do they now show? A CLOSE RACE and NOTHING else. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #14

"referendum mainly on the GOVERNING STRENGTH of the White House party" honest.abe Jul 2024 #23

Not when they're used to force a president off the ballot! LeftInTX Jul 2024 #15

You are good at what you do. cachukis Jul 2024 #16

Not especially Metaphorical Jul 2024 #18

well put! Seem to be popping up with some regularity here of late stopdiggin Jul 2024 #19

LOL. I noticed that too. totodeinhere Jul 2024 #20

I love poll aggregates, and prediction models like 538 had. nt DontBelieveEastisEas Jul 2024 #21

People accept that which reinforces their world view Kaleva Jul 2024 #22

What I like is the positive movement of the polls since Harris became our presumptive nominee. honest.abe Jul 2024 #24

My opinion on polls stays the same. Elessar Zappa Jul 2024 #25

Things were fresher around here a couple of weeks ago Doc Sportello Jul 2024 #27

I don't like them because they are too easily manipulated and erroneously presented moniss Jul 2024 #29

Message auto-removed Name removed Jul 2024 #30

I haven't liked them for years, now DFW Jul 2024 #31

I have always believed in polls, for example: gab13by13 Jul 2024 #32

Election polls are 95% confident but only 60% accurate, Berkeley Haas study finds waterwatcher123 Jul 2024 #34

Thank you Doc Sportello Jul 2024 #42

I do believe in exit polling. gab13by13 Jul 2024 #35

Only at the strip club Johonny Jul 2024 #36

Yes, they're telling us what we want to hear now alarimer Jul 2024 #37

I take polls with a grain of salt edisdead Jul 2024 #38

No fuck em ColinC Jul 2024 #39

I still don't. mucholderthandirt Jul 2024 #40

Polls seem more "predictive" when one likes the results. Silent Type Jul 2024 #41

Winning hearts and minds again. BannonsLiver Jul 2024 #43