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central scrutinizer

(12,441 posts) Wed Sep 25, 2024, 02:41 PM Sep 2024

Should we worry about a Bradley effect? [View all]

The Bradley effect skews polls with a social desirability bias. Individuals being polled don’t want to.be considered racists or misogynists and may say they’re voting for Harris but actually end up voting for TSF. We all thought Clinton would win in 2016. We can’t be complacent even though the polls seem to be encouraging.

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Should we worry about a Bradley effect? [View all] central scrutinizer Sep 2024 OP

Good pollsters already have that built in since 2016 obamanut2012 Sep 2024 #1

I think it's gonna be a reverse-Bradley effect Coexist Sep 2024 #2

That's the only downside to vote by mail central scrutinizer Sep 2024 #3

Agree Strelnikov_ Sep 2024 #5

It is quite easy to account for this statistically. Irish_Dem Sep 2024 #4

What? You mean pollsters will go as far as actually changing responses to get their desired outcome???? Think. Again. Sep 2024 #10

This is not what I said at all. Irish_Dem Sep 2024 #11

I didn't realize manipulating results was openly discussed, wow. Think. Again. Sep 2024 #12

You're misunderstanding the poster Sympthsical Sep 2024 #15

Yeah, I've read 'Lying With Statistics' too. Think. Again. Sep 2024 #16

Not with this opponent BeyondGeography Sep 2024 #6

Quite the opposite Fiendish Thingy Sep 2024 #7

pollsters have reported that in the 24 cycle... WarGamer Sep 2024 #8

Non response bias was a problem in 2016, too. central scrutinizer Sep 2024 #9

I thought the Bradley effect was put to the graveyard after Obama won Wanderlust988 Sep 2024 #13

Maybe if you H2O Man Sep 2024 #14

Good Lord Prairie Gates Sep 2024 #17

Don't ever worry about that. Iggo Sep 2024 #18