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(54,040 posts)

8. It's complicated:

Reply to LonePirate (Original post)

Sun Oct 20, 2024, 03:18 PM

Sunday

98% confident we will win the popular vote
85% confident we will win the electoral college vote (as determined by actual voters)
60% confident we will win after various Republican efforts to steal it.

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Highlight:

Gut Check - How confident are you about our chances in November? [View all] LonePirate Sunday OP

The Harris campaign has to weather the storm of GOP attack ads andym Sunday #1

Being negative nelly - I think we get the votes & he gets an insurrection that will be unimaginable & steals the office. lark Sunday #2

Somewhat confident, but less so than 10 days ago Polybius Sunday #3

How confident can one be of a coin flip? WarGamer Sunday #4

I think that would fall into the "Not sure what to think" category Polybius Sunday #6

I don't like seeing national polling under a 2% lead... WarGamer Sunday #10

The TIPP poll is concerning me. Self Esteem Sunday #14

Can go either way... the side that works harder wins. WarGamer Sunday #19

It can go the other way but Harris has worked way harder the last two weeks... Self Esteem Sunday #20

I meant the hard work on the ground... WarGamer Sunday #21

Maybe. I think Democrats out-did Trump there in 2016 and lost. Self Esteem Sunday #22

I'm a pessimist LostOne4Ever Sunday #5

So am I iemanja Sunday #7

It's complicated: unblock Sunday #8

I have to admit I'm way more confident than i was when Biden was the candidate, CrispyQ Sunday #9

This is the essential weakness of our "representative democracy" dwayneb Monday #36

Stop Abstractartist Sunday #11

There's more energy in the Harris campaign like Obama's campaign ! kimbutgar Sunday #12

Less confident than a week ago. Self Esteem Sunday #13

Hate to agree Cosmocat Monday #42

Somewhat confident! But, I was somewhat confident in 2016. So, there is a fear factor. nt JustABozoOnThisBus Sunday #15

She has been elected before. ramedy Sunday #16

I've gone through my depressed view and am now very confident we will win. That Arnold Palmer schlong was what just CTyankee Sunday #17

Harris/Walz - 75% of the Vote verargert Sunday #18

Very confident mvd Sunday #23

The EC, the capricious stupidity and ignorance of the voters... J_William_Ryan Sunday #24

Somewhat confident. Elessar Zappa Sunday #25

Very confident - important not to buy into the fake polls/big lie bullshit. polichick Sunday #26

I don't think many polls are counting the newly registered voters as likely voters, Qutzupalotl Sunday #27

Very confident because I've had it with the gloomer/doomers - nt TBF Sunday #28

How about those of us like myself who are in the middle? Polybius Sunday #32

I can't tell anyone what to think. TBF Monday #38

By "in the middle" I didn't mean it like that Polybius Monday #39

Ah, I see. Thanks for clarification and I agree with that. nt TBF Monday #41

In my mind, the odds are 50-50, misogyny and racism are a very powerful force in this country, but I'm still optimistic Walleye Sunday #29

I am upbeat and confident DEM1955 Sunday #30

Each passing day, I am more and more confident that Kamala will prevail! nt CaliforniaPeggy Sunday #31

VP Harris will definitely win the popular vote. roamer65 Sunday #33

Somewhat confident, NotAPuppet Monday #34

Very confident jfz9580m Monday #35

Wasn't an option for me. Happy Hoosier Monday #37

Interesting results Polybius Monday #40

Every time I look at polling and analysis, I come to a different conclusion Amishman Monday #43