General Discussion

displacedvermoter

(2,819 posts)

4. Wouldn't the votes actually cast be a better

Mon Oct 21, 2024, 08:43 AM

Monday

measure of the race, than votes that are planned on in two weeks? That bird in the hand thing, right?

Doesn't that also seem to indicate that those huge numbers of early votes in Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, etc are a good omen for Harris?

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Harris Holds Huge Lead Among Those Who Have Voted [View all] babylonsister Monday OP

So I guess we hope for really terrible weather in the swing states on election day? n/t RidinWithHarris Monday #1

I hope a bunch of Trumpsters just don't bother to vote. yardwork Monday #2

No, we just hope reason and common sense prevail. babylonsister Monday #3

Have you met people? RidinWithHarris Monday #9

No kidding, the weather is our absolute best chance in that specific scenario. Xavier Breath Monday #37

It's similar to what we discussed yesterday about 2022 Sympthsical Monday #5

My thought exactly PoindexterOglethorpe Monday #24

Nooooo Farmer-Rick Monday #29

It's the model that statisticians use almost every election cycle............. Lovie777 Monday #42

Wouldn't the votes actually cast be a better displacedvermoter Monday #4

I'm sorry... PCIntern Monday #6

You are right, sorry too! displacedvermoter Monday #7

Story of my life right now... birdographer Monday #44

I'll be happy and optimistic angrychair Monday #62

Bird in the hand was the same analogy. I was just thinking of. Planning on and actually voting two different things. Walleye Monday #13

Not necessarily. Traditionally, more democrats vote early. LisaL Monday #14

Yes, more Dems vote early Farmer-Rick Monday #40

I'm old enough to remember when the Opposite was the trend. Days when the term "absentee ballot" msfiddlestix Monday #50

If nothing else, it is a good measure of voter enthusiasm. tinrobot Monday #17

Yes, inna race where turn out is key Johonny Monday #19

She got all the votes in this house. Solly Mack Monday #8

Great news! Gaytano70 Monday #10

Some states count them first. iemanja Monday #11

That's how they should do it! Gaytano70 Monday #12

Thanks for the very valuable information! pazzyanne Monday #55

Pennsylvania does not. Funtatlaguy Monday #30

Minnesota does not count absentee ballots until election day. nt pazzyanne Monday #58

It's funny, they come up with a 45-44 Harris over Trump margin as the ultimate number, lees1975 Monday #15

Early voters so far are less than half of expected voters. LisaL Monday #16

So far, displacedvermoter Monday #20

Well, but the pollster is estimating that same day voters will be about half. lees1975 Monday #38

If that's the case Tribetime Monday #41

the math is fine stopdiggin Monday #21

Again, early voting just started in some places displacedvermoter Monday #22

I don't think that's their point. Self Esteem Monday #34

The pollster assumes that 50% of the vote will be same day. lees1975 Monday #39

No. It's your math. Self Esteem Monday #45

But the pollster says that 50% are waiting to cast their ballot on election day. That means 50% will vote early. lees1975 Monday #43

We need to start working on doing away with the Emile Monday #18

Good luck Pototan Monday #27

Agree! pazzyanne Monday #59

By the time Election Day comes... Kid Berwyn Monday #23

If not reversed, narrowed, and it would only displacedvermoter Monday #26

A candidate has a way better chance Pototan Monday #25

Again, isn't there ample time for some Trump displacedvermoter Monday #28

My reply was sarcastic Pototan Monday #46

Unfortunately MAGAs love scrambled and obscene. pazzyanne Monday #63

I don't see a lot changing of minds towards Trump Metaphorical Monday #64

There is something off with the polling this year. shotten99 Monday #31

I think pollsters are underestimating the young vote. CaptainTruth Monday #35

Could be SocialDemocrat61 Monday #52

Fundraising is a poor metric to use. Self Esteem Monday #36

I've read that the pollsters "corrected" their methods after underestimating spooky3 Monday #54

I expect more Dem ED voting than in 2020. CaptainTruth Monday #32

I'm a 35%'er!! aeromanKC Monday #33

There was an article the other day that said more republicans are voting early & by mail CrispyQ Monday #47

Tha ground game we have could boost us 1-3% on Election Day Tribetime Monday #48

Let it snow, let it snow, let it SNOW! peppertree Monday #49

Republicans are pushing early voting pretty hard this year WSHazel Monday #51

An 80-something friend told me he voted early (for KH-TW) to make sure spooky3 Monday #53

if that is the case, how does the math work? samsingh Monday #56

Should we hope for bad weather in red states on election day? Asking for a friend. surfered Monday #57

That E-day vote that favors Trump is why . . . peggysue2 Monday #60

I was added to that list Sunsky Monday #61

So why is GA the opposite? Polybius Monday #65

But the number of requested ballots in the article shows Dems 57% gqp 35%....when it shows who has voted PortTack Monday #66

just my opinion but, the "registered republican" thing is misleading. ecstatic Monday #71

Someone tell me if this is wrong PortTack Monday #67

It doesn't take into consideration mnhtnbb Monday #69

Our side is more enthusiastic and were asked to vote early IronLionZion Monday #68

Why would this poll be trusted since polls are all bought and paid for? former9thward Monday #70