General Discussion

Last edited Thu Nov 14, 2024, 05:43 PM - Edit history (1)

https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/house/

AK-AL
CA-13
CA-21
CA-45

I'm not sure why the Alaska race hasn't been called yet. I see no way for the Democrats to win that one. EDIT: Upon second review, the Alaska race will come down to second choice votes. If Peltolla (D) wins a significant majority of those second choice votes, she can still win. Highly unlikely but not impossible.
CA21 - Democrat Jim Costa leads and is likely to win
CA45 - Democrat Derek Tran trails by just a couple hundred votes but with 8% left to count. This is a likely Dem win.
Ca13 - This one is still up in the air. Democrat Adam Gray trails by about 3700 but there is still 25% of votes left to count.

So it looks like it will be 220 to 214 with one still to be determined.

These numbers are based on the results of last Tuesday's elections. Gaetz resignation brings the Republicans number down to 219. Additional reps nominated to the cabinet, if confirmed, will reduce the Republican number further. I'm not sure how realistic it is for the Dems to be able to win a special election in any of these districts, but the Republican majority, if it remains, will be razor thin. Despite winning the Presidency and the senate, they did not make any gains in the house.