General Discussion

That said, IF Casey wins (somewhat doubtful atm) in PA I picked every race correctly, so I was under no illusion (for the last 2 years tbh) we would hold the Senate.

If Casey goes down, it will be basically impossible to pull the Rethugs under 50 seats post 2026 midterms.

We have a real chance at picking off that POS Concern Collins in ME (especially if she retires, then it is an almsot done deal we flip it) with a good candidate. Would love to see Steven King finally run.

We also have a shot at flipping Tillis in NC, although our 2 of pour 3 best potential candidates just were elected Governor (Josh Stein) and Attorney General (Jeff Jacskon) so I doubt either runs in 2026. That leaves Roy Cooper, who is proably the strongest of the 3, so I am pretty hopeful.

Kentucky will be a real long shot, even with Beshear (if he runs, which he may well not, as he is looking at 2028 POTUS) as KY will elect moderate Dems as governor, BUT that almost never translates (anymore) to US Senate elections.

We have one seat in real danger (Ossoff in GA), one in less, but not insignicant danger (Peters in MI) and one that we should win easily, but cannot claim it is a 100 per cent lock (Smith in MN).

All other seats up for re-election are either solid Red or solid Blue.

IF we win all 6 races listed above, but Casey loses now, the best we can get to in 2026 is 50-50, with the POS Vance breaking ties.