I know many, especially here... are upset about the situation in Ukraine. [View all]

Last edited Sat Feb 15, 2025, 04:49 PM - Edit history (1)

But it's the ending it was always going to be.

The Ukraine War is the largest war in Europe in 80 years.

After WW2, the global map changed extensively.

After ANY major war, across the globe... borders change.

After WW2, families who lives for multiple generations in Eastern Germany, the "Sudatenland" were moved out by the Soviets and sent to Russian work camps. Non-combatants, moved to camps... unreal.




Here's the actual summary of the Ukraine War. No puffery from Ukraine or Russian sources or online "experts" wishcasting about the war.

1) Russia surprised many by actually launching the invasion. Time will tell why the negotiations happening pre-war failed.

2) Russia badly miscalculated the resolve to fight from the AFU. Early combat mauled the Russians.

3) Ukraine telegraphed their Fall 2022 counter offensive too far in advance. They waited for heavy Western reinforcements to arrive including German and American main battle tanks and IFV's like the Bradley. The counter offensive failed because the Russians had ample time to reinforce and dig in. They built extensive defensive positions that the AFU was unable to bypass or destroy.

4) Since the failure of the counter offensive in the winter of 22... Russia has gained territory almost monthly.

5) Everything that the West has done to help Ukraine has made the war more bloody but hasn't changed the front lines.

6) Ukraine is running out of soldiers.

7) Russia has caught up with Ukraine and surpassed them in their use of drones, including the new fiber optic controlled drones that can't be jammed.

8) The AFU incursion into Kursk was a Pyrrhic victory at best. They took their best, most effective combat units from the front lines in Luhansk and Donetsk and moved them to the invasion force. Today, they've been mostly pushed out of the region, holding less than half the territory they once did.

9) The war is already over. The only question now is how many more will die and what will negotiations produce/




That's reality. Many won't like it. The neocons certainly don't like it. The MIC certainly doesn't like it and those illicitly profiting in theater don't like it either.

Reality is, the borders of the world are shaped by war. Want to look at the border of the USA? Anywhere in Europe?

At this point, Zelenskyy will negotiate. He's looking for a deal that leaves Ukraine in better shape than before the war.

He's going to have to give territory... because Ukraine lost the war to this point. That's the way of the world.

Here's what he's thinking. If he can end up with a Ukraine that's 30% smaller but 3x more wealthy and independent... there will be statues of him in the City Square, but there are sticking points.

Putin wants Ukraine to be unarmed and without security guarantees.

I think this is crucial. Negotiations MUST include security guarantees from European allies and the US.

Negotiations must include financial involvement from the West to help rebuild.

With time... I think Ukraine will be successful like the EU