General Discussion

The BQ (Bloc Québécois) is the (brother) party that presents candidates in federal elections only. It now holds the "balance of power" in Ottawa's Chamber of Communes (Parliament system) where it must side with the Liberal minority there in order to keep the government passing its bills, thus remaining at the elms.

That means that PM Carney and his team must negotiate every vote with the BQ in order to stay in power. If the BQ decides to vote against any of his bills, thus siding with the conservatives opposing them, the minority could be defeated and a new election would have to be called to sort it out.

Each federal election costs a lot of money to each party, and their coffers are near empty at the moment, so no party holding the balance of power is interested to provoke a new election soon, unless, like for example, the provincial separatist party (PQ) was to win a majority in Quebec and would hold a winning referendum for Quebec's separation, and then Ottawa would refuse to recognize the results; that would be unacceptable for the federal delegation in the Bloc, of course. The Bloc could then "defeat" any bill there (if the cons would oppose that same bill), provoking a federal election to be called.

It's kind of unpredictable at the moment, but the next provincial election in Quebec is not in the view yet.