General Discussion

If they can get witnesses to testify - pretty high. There was a similar conviction of the former president of Honduras. The difference is that the government at the time in the Honduras cooperated with the United States.

Unfortunately, there is precedent to ignore (at least for the purposes of criminal prosecution) how he was renditioned (even if it is ultimately determined to be illegal).

The summary at the video in this link is the best analysis I've seen of the potential legal issues: https://democraticunderground.com/100220911574