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Ocelot II

(129,677 posts)
Mon Jan 12, 2026, 09:56 AM Jan 12

Interesting and unnerving analysis of what could happen if Piggy invaded Greenland: [View all]

From (ick) Facebook, Brent Molnar https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569521527172

If the United States follows through on the threat to invade Greenland, we need to be crystal clear about what happens the next morning. This is not a real estate transaction or a routine military exercise. It is the geopolitical equivalent of pulling the pin on a grenade in a crowded elevator. The moment American boots hit the ground in Nuuk to seize territory from a fellow NATO member, the world as we know it ends. The consequences will not be temporary sanctions or angry letters. They will be total, permanent, and devastating.

The first domino to fall is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization itself. NATO is built on the sacred promise of Article 5, that an attack on one is an attack on all. If the U.S. attacks Denmark, we are not just breaking the treaty; we are triggering it against ourselves. NATO dissolves instantly. The alliance that kept the peace in Europe for 75 years evaporates, leaving the continent to rearm and realign against the new aggressor across the Atlantic. We don't just lose an ally; we create a unified enemy.

The military repercussions will be swift and humiliating. Europe will immediately demand the closure of every U.S. military base on the continent. Ramstein in Germany, Aviano in Italy, Lakenheath in the UK, all gone. Our ability to project power into the Middle East and Africa vanishes overnight. We will be evicted from the very soil we helped liberate and defended for decades, forced to retreat to our own shores as a fortress nation, isolated and friendless.
Then comes the economic nuclear option. The European Union is the largest single market in the world, and they will weaponize it. Europe will likely move to call in U.S. debt and dump their dollar reserves, sending the value of our currency into a death spiral. The U.S. economy, which relies on the dollar being the global reserve currency, will collapse. Inflation will make the post-COVID spikes look like a rounding error. Your savings will be worthless before the ink dries on the invasion orders.

Corporate America will face an extinction event. U.S. companies will be expelled from the European market. Apple, Google, McDonald's, and Tesla will see their assets seized or their operations banned. Trillions of dollars in market capitalization will be incinerated in minutes. The stock market will not just crash; it will close. We are talking about the complete de-globalization of American industry, cutting us off from the wealthiest consumers on the planet.
The skies will go silent. European aviation authorities will almost certainly ground all Boeing jets and ban U.S. airlines from their airspace. Transatlantic travel will cease. If you are in Paris or Berlin, you are stuck there. The logistical arteries that feed our supply chains will be severed. We will be cut off from European medicine, machinery, and technology. We will be an island nation in the worst possible sense.

The cultural isolation will be just as stinging. The International Olympic Committee and FIFA will have no choice but to bar the United States from competition, just as they did with Russia. There will be no World Cup matches in New Jersey. There will be no Team USA in the Olympics. We will be treated as a pariah state, unwelcome on the global stage, forced to watch the world celebrate without us.

For individual Americans, the consequences will be personal and painful. Visa-free travel to Europe will end immediately. Americans currently living or working in Europe will lose their legal protections and residency status. They will become persona non grata, potentially facing deportation or internment. The "blue passport" that used to open every door will suddenly be a red flag at every border crossing.

This is the end of trust, and it does not reset. You cannot invade a democratic ally and then say "my bad" four years later. The psychological break will be permanent. Europe will realize that the United States is no longer a partner but a predator. They will build their own defense architecture, their own financial systems, and their own alliances that specifically exclude us. The West will continue, but the United States will no longer be part of it.
Invading Greenland is not a show of strength; it is an act of national suicide. We are trading our reputation, our economy, and our security for a frozen island and a handful of minerals we can't even process. The price of this real estate deal is everything we built over the last century. If we cross this line, there is no going back. We will be the lonely superpower, ruling over nothing but our own decline.

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"The first domino to fall is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization itself" kentuck Jan 12 #1
Not just Putin but blue-wave Jan 12 #20
For the love of God . . . Scubamatt Jan 12 #58
there are but they have proven themselves to be cowards. nt Javaman Jan 13 #74
There are few. if any of those old Republicans alive today. The Nazi salute is the norm with this batch. peacebuzzard Jan 13 #80
I fully expect china to invade Taiwan at that point. Javaman Jan 13 #73
I've been screaming from the rooftops... GiqueCee Jan 12 #66
Good analysis. Horrifying that this is who we are now. Every once in a while, the magnitude of that Scrivener7 Jan 12 #2
All true, and why I said yesterday Trump would be impeached and removed- by Republicans Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #3
It's nice to imagine that angrychair Jan 12 #13
That is clearly inaccurate Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #15
You have a lot more faith angrychair Jan 12 #22
sadly, agreed Cosmocat Jan 12 #30
if this comes to fruition, I see various states calling up their national guard against ICE Javaman Jan 13 #75
I take no joy in agreeing this is the likely way it will play out Cosmocat Jan 12 #29
What is the mechanism? dpibel Jan 12 #17
The mechanisms are in the constitution Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #23
Yes. I gave a quick summary of the 25th dpibel Jan 12 #27
I just reread all my comments in this thread, and I don't find the word "immediately" anywhere Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #38
I guess you missed my edit dpibel Jan 12 #41
You should contact the major book publishers Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #48
LOL dpibel Jan 12 #49
I guess I should be flattered with all your attention Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #50
It's funny when nitpicker becomes nitpickee Qutzupalotl Jan 12 #59
Think the JFK mechanism Joinfortmill Jan 12 #54
Doubtful Cosmocat Jan 12 #25
Somewhere Lindsey Graham just *eed in his pants.... Jack Valentino Jan 12 #64
We know what would happen to Piggy Jr' Coldwater Jan 12 #4
It sickens me to my core to know that piece of shit believes he will one day be President... Moostache Jan 12 #34
Heck, we've ALREADY had way more of that family than we could ever have wanted. calimary Jan 13 #67
Fact of life Timewas Jan 12 #5
None of this is going to happen. Glaisne Jan 12 #6
It's not my analysis. I know the US has a long-standing treaty regarding the military base Ocelot II Jan 12 #7
It's the worst case scenario, so it is a useful warning thought crime Jan 12 #31
The U.S. has ONE base only. Breaking the NATO treaty will be an unlawful order to the U.S. Military. The NATO Treaty is ancianita Jan 12 #8
i hadn't thought about it this way MadameButterfly Jan 12 #33
But the US military has. ancianita Jan 12 #40
Tim Kaine was similarly confident MadameButterfly Jan 12 #45
Cool. What Congress thinks or votes on adds validation for a decision that is the U.S. Military's alone; ancianita Jan 12 #46
As Trump has shown in just the past week, treaties can be torn up or ignored. Nt Fiendish Thingy Jan 12 #16
We cannot afford this. bluescribbler Jan 12 #9
The people of Greenland&Canada should launch a class-action lawsuit against the US for tRumps terror campaign against us Fords Crackpipe Jan 12 #10
And Vladimir Putin will have gotten everything he wants, and he won't even have had to leave the building. Aristus Jan 12 #11
Every so often, I think of Susan Sarandon Ruby the Liberal Jan 12 #65
she is and will always be a fucking halfwit. nt Javaman Jan 13 #76
A very clear, concise, and I believe correct accessment. Thank you Ocelot II flashman13 Jan 12 #12
See the first word? It's IF. That makes the piece a total hypothetical. Not an analysis. The fact that it's on a social ancianita Jan 12 #44
Don't be trying to school me. I suppose you think the world will thank us for for attacking an ally. flashman13 Jan 12 #60
Pfffft school you? about a hypothetical not being logical? Believe what you want. ancianita Jan 12 #62
I'm not predicting anything; don't give me credit or blame for this piece. Ocelot II Jan 13 #71
Yep, that's Putin's plan that Trump is carrying out. Break up NATO and destroy the US economy from within. Fozzledick Jan 12 #14
We should not be taking any of this lightly angrychair Jan 12 #18
As someone said on another forum. . . Stargleamer Jan 12 #19
I have always thought something drastic would have to happen to make people wake up. Katinfl Jan 12 #21
Obviously this is a worst-case scenario, and all things that COULD be done by the EU and other NATO members. Ol Janx Spirit Jan 12 #24
Good points about Europe's response but MadameButterfly Jan 12 #43
Well, just like the "hold my beer" guy...he's thinking something.... Ol Janx Spirit Jan 12 #52
I don't think anything will disavow him because of his mental illness MadameButterfly Jan 12 #57
This is all well and good to explain to a thinking man usedtobedemgurl Jan 12 #26
I don't know Cosmocat Jan 12 #28
Static analysis. bucolic_frolic Jan 12 #32
I will finish your essay: ret5hd Jan 12 #35
Yep, mission accomplished. This is the real goal, not Greenland. Irish_Dem Jan 12 #37
The other thing that could happen is that there is little or no reaction. Irish_Dem Jan 12 #36
My crystal ball is foggy. BarbD Jan 12 #39
Kick. N/T Upthevibe Jan 12 #42
Britian has just said in one of this a.m.'s bulletins on DU that they would put troops in Greenland now. If true, SWBTATTReg Jan 12 #47
This sums it up CousinIT Jan 12 #51
I don't think NATO dissolves, just the US's part in it. Javaman Jan 13 #77
This explains a lot: "Ending the American Dream by 2029?" CousinIT Jan 13 #78
thanks, I'll check it out. I read Toms Dispatch from time to time. :) nt Javaman Jan 13 #79
The Russians own Trump. Joinfortmill Jan 12 #53
I would like to see NATO Members OhioTim Jan 12 #55
Is anyone telling this to Stephen Miller and tRump? joanbarnes Jan 12 #56
Sounds to me like Corporate America better get their shit together and reign in their puppet.nt Trueblue Texan Jan 12 #61
Chilling that the donor class hasn't gotten their shit together to stop him Ruby the Liberal Jan 12 #63
Yeah, we'd become Figarosmom Jan 13 #68
"Oh--everything I touch gets ruined." That's trump's life. C Moon Jan 13 #69
The epitome of..... MarcoZandrini Jan 13 #70
not to mention all the private companies that do business in Europe Javaman Jan 13 #72
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