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Celerity

(54,112 posts)
36. I doubt either. She may run for POTUS in 2028, but will have little chance (IMHO) of winning the Dem nomination.
Wed Mar 4, 2026, 03:23 AM
Yesterday

I see very little chance we risk nominating a female POTUS candidate for the 3rd time in the last 4 cycles. The US is simply too misogynistic atm.

Also, the US deep racism and religious bias (against non Christians) needs to be taken into account. Same for homophobia (especially against gay men, as lesbians tend to have easier times getting elected now).

As for VP, she presents a chance to become a focal point of attacks from the right designed to scare off swing voters, moderates, centrists, white suburbanites, etc, which breaks the old rule number 1 for VP chosing (do no harm).

On election night 2024, when it was clear that Harris had lost, I predicted 2 white, straight, centre left Christian males as our 2028 ticket.

As a mixed race (genetic WWIII in a human body, lol: mum is a Bajan (Barbados) mixed race black/etc West Indian, plus white Swedish (my father is 100 per cent Swede), Han Chinese, Lebanese, Sephardic Portuguese Jewish, East Indian, etc), lesbian, atheist, social democratic (NOT democratic socialist) type progressive female, that prediction pains me, but I am nothing if not a realist and pragmatic when it comes to my predictions and what is needed to win in a fucked up Trumpian-inflected splintered national electoral ecosphere.

Crockett comes with more inherent risk than potential gain IMHO.

Same for AOC and a 2028 POTUS run. Hopefully she runs for Schumer's NY Senate seat in 2028, whether he runs for re-election again or not, as she is blocked from House leadership by the moderate/centrist/conservative Dem caucuses (with help as of late, sadly, from the retiring Pelosi). Some of groups (and individual members of them) detest AOC, like many in the extraordinarily problematic (on many issues and stances) No Labels-spawned Problem Solvers Caucus.

That all said, I absolutely respect a differing opinion in regards to my predictions.

Cheers,

Cel





Recommendations

7 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Filing deadline already passed I believe SSJVegeta Tuesday #1
She's got a national future, regardless of how this works out. OAITW r.2.0 Tuesday #6
I'm not so hopeful SSJVegeta Tuesday #7
Yes, but in the media, and likely not elected politics. Celerity Yesterday #30
I was wondering about that too! Enter stage left Tuesday #2
No. She could only file for one race. She chose senate. Texas had a primary for every partisan seat yesterday. . LeftInTX Yesterday #23
I thought you could run for two seats in texas...lloyd Benson was on for VP and senator JT45242 Yesterday #39
Senators only run for office every six years. It's not unusual for them to run for higher office on off years. LeftInTX 17 hrs ago #46
In 1988 he was on the ballot for both Senate and VP (double checked) JT45242 15 hrs ago #47
VP is an appointed position. LBJ did not participate in a 1960 presidential primary. LeftInTX 13 hrs ago #49
I wondered this too, especially after we lost Katie Porter Deuxcents Tuesday #3
And I hate that we lost Katie and might lose Jasmine. Marie Marie Tuesday #14
No. ananda Tuesday #4
No, she forfeits her seat to run. Coventina Tuesday #5
I want her to be Talarico's chief of staff. Frasier Balzov Tuesday #8
That's not going to happen MichMan Tuesday #9
I agree!!! LeftInTX Yesterday #24
So she should go from being an elected member of Congress niyad Yesterday #18
I mean if Talarico wins the nomination. Frasier Balzov Yesterday #20
no way in hell is that going to happen Skittles Yesterday #26
I just Hope the Very Best for Jasmine Crockett's Cha Yesterday #37
I don't see that happening pinkstarburst 22 hrs ago #41
I think she was redistricted out. Orangepeel Tuesday #10
Correct H2O Man Tuesday #12
Perhaps she can run as an independent MichMan Tuesday #11
No, Texas has a reasonable strong Sore Loser election law Brother Buzz Tuesday #15
I wish every state did MichMan Tuesday #16
I did not know this! LeftInTX Yesterday #25
No spoilers, Democrats have no business being sore losers. Pisces Yesterday #17
Absolutely not. Why in the world should the vote be divided in a state where Dems haven't won a senate seat in decades? themaguffin 21 hrs ago #42
Even if she ran as an Independent it would only split our vote and hand the seat to the GOP. Towlie 18 hrs ago #45
She's out. Re-districting took her seat. Melon Tuesday #13
No, Crockett was gerrymandered out of her seat LetMyPeopleVote Yesterday #19
No, the primary was today karynnj Yesterday #21
That's it for Crockett Witnessof Trump Yesterday #22
MS NOW contract inbound for January 2027.... Celerity Yesterday #27
Yep Witnessof Trump Yesterday #29
Candidate for President in 2028 or VP Pick ? thought crime Yesterday #33
I doubt either. She may run for POTUS in 2028, but will have little chance (IMHO) of winning the Dem nomination. Celerity Yesterday #36
Good analysis; you're probably right as usual. thought crime 19 hrs ago #43
IMHO Crockett should have run for re-election in either her current district (TX-30) or where her home is now drawn (TX- Celerity 19 hrs ago #44
I agree with you AZProgressive 13 hrs ago #50
I wouldn't bet on that. I doubt she's done with oasis Yesterday #28
LOL Skittles Yesterday #31
Bra.. Witnessof Trump Yesterday #32
it would appear to be the GOP who LOST Skittles Yesterday #34
Ok Witnessof Trump Yesterday #35
Oh Jasmine Crockett Will BE Seen Again. Cha Yesterday #38
Sounds serious Torchlight 15 hrs ago #48
She remains in her current seat through the end of the year. Wiz Imp Yesterday #40
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Can Crockett hold her sea...»Reply #36