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Xolodno

(7,370 posts)
5. I think policy hawks in D.C. and Tel Aviv assumed we could claw Iran back...
Wed Apr 1, 2026, 03:11 PM
Apr 1

...from being a regional power. And don't think that ship has sailed and still could get a "pacified" Iran subservient to Western Powers. Now its become obvious they can't have that unless that significant treasure, armed forces and troops are put to use. And that's still a maybe and when you add there is no taste anywhere for a prolonged Mid-East war, they are throwing a tantrum. So at some point, one has to accept diminished influence in the area, its over.

Iran developing nukes is probably in response to Israel having them and being surrounded by Sunni Nations that are backed by the West. Even if the Theocracy falls and elections are held, they still will have trust issues, nor do I blame them. As for a first strike, highly unlikely, they know the cost of such a gamble and a particular heavily nuclear armed frenemy to the north of them would be none too pleased.

Europe knows that opening up trade relations, dropping adversarial positions, etc. would probably yield better results. In our case, Iran would want a full apology which is something we almost never do.

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