General Discussion

She would cruise to a primary victory over him (or another Dem or Dems) IMHO, despite that primary likely turning into a shitshow here on DU. She would then win the general election IMHO.

That said.....

She simply cannot win a general election for POTUS in the America of 2028, IMHO. I so, so, SO! wish she could, but I just do not see it happening then.

She also would perhaps struggle to even win the overall Democratic POTUS primary in 2028 as well:

If that scheduling is kept mostly intact for 2028, it will quite possubly be hard for AOC to come charging out of the gate with win after win, as there will be multiple early states that have Dem voting base demographics that are not so likely to go for AOC over other candidates in those primaries.

Ask Buttigieg (obviously a different type of candidate from AOC, but still one who came roaring out of the gate in 2020) what happens when a Dem primary in a state like South Carolina comes up. His campaign basically ended there for all intents and purposes.

AOC could see the same dynamics in play. South Carolina will very likely play a even bigger, earlier role than it did in 2020, when it was THE inflection point in terms if making Biden our nominee back then.

PS

Buttigieg (I supported Pete from the very start in 2020, I was the very first poster in the official DU Pete group on here, for example) will once again probably have the same problems in 2028.

His polling numbers with, for instance, a hugely important, vital cohort in Democratic presidential electoral politics (non youth black voters, especially in southern states) are abyssmal, per many hosts on MS NOW recently. Near zero to less than 4 or so per cent, depending on the host and/or the poll cited.

AOC may well face similar issues, plus she will have hundreds of millions of USD in targeted attack adverts dropped on her from various and sundry groups (RW billionaire-funded AIPAC and its umbrella of affiliated dark money groups being but a few examples, and certainly not limited to just them).

She is hated (or at least intensely disliked) and feared perhaps as much (if not soon more) than even Bernie Sanders is by multiple large segments of the American political, economic, cultural, and social power superstructures, including within our own Democratic Party's various official levels and its non-official penumbrae.