But this is only the beginning of fuel surcharges and the like. Free shipping may be a thing of the past. At best we'll have to buy far more to get it than we did a few months ago. Simple economics. Even if the war ended tonight, it will be months to perhaps over a year before supply returns to some semblance of normality. A covid like supply chain disaster, with the possibility of permanently damaged oil and gas fields even if they are shutdown correctly, and billions in oil and gas infrastructure damage. It will take a long, long time to unravel all that.
We're just beginning to see fuel prices trickle through supply chains for every single thing we buy. Air travel is an early harbinger due to the direct link between ticket prices and jet fuel cost. Our food supply is essentially us eating oil. Nothing is planted, raised, harvested or transported without oil. So the price of diesel will show up on the grocery shelves. There's simply no other way around it. So much for all that bitching about egg prices back in 2024. That may seem quaint in the coming months.