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kansasobama

(1,415 posts)

14. I know PA is close

Sat Sep 7, 2024, 08:43 AM

Sep 7

That is Nate's argument. However, just because it is close does not mean it favors Trump. I agree it is 50-50. He says he does not consider DNC bounce. But, then, he says he is doubtful about polls conducted in the aftermath of DNC and wants to wait for 2 weeks for DNC to settle down.

On another front, do you agree that we have less state polling this year?

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Highlight:

Nate Silver faces backlash for pro-Trump model skewing [View all] BumRushDaShow Sep 7 OP

Can't help but wonder if silver is cashing checks labeled in rubles JT45242 Sep 7 #1

TSF has already been caught paying for a favorable poll gab13by13 Sep 7 #5

Is he paying, or his rich Russian benefactor paying? 4lbs Sep 7 #12

It is simpler than that Trenzalore Sep 7 #6

This! liberalla Sep 7 #37

Thanks did not know that connection and ... JT45242 Sep 7 #39

He is literally Peter Thiel's guy obamanut2012 Sep 7 #24

Oh, that explains all zorbasd Sep 7 #33

Probably laundered by Peter Thiel. ananda Sep 7 #27

Follow the money... Docreed2003 Sep 7 #2

I somehow missed his Peter Thiel connection. marble falls Sep 7 #9

Silver works for Thiel's startup Docreed2003 Sep 7 #10

Conflict! We doan see no stinkin conflict of interests! marble falls Sep 7 #11

Seems like he's pissing off his fellow pollsters... Think. Again. Sep 7 #3

Silver may be snorting his own stash PJMcK Sep 7 #4

But .. but .. but .. Nate Silver walks on water! I don't trust polls til after the Conventions and then with some salt. marble falls Sep 7 #7

Not enough Sodium Chloride on the planet to make me trust polls like I did back in the 90s ArkansasDemocrat1 Sep 7 #49

Your instincts are still correct today. The attention so many pay to them is shocking. marble falls Sep 7 #54

OP link is wrong thesquanderer Sep 7 #8

Thanks BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #23

He and Mark Halperin are doing the same thing kansasobama Sep 7 #13

Mark Halperin, a long time ago, used to be someone I'd listen to. erronis Sep 7 #15

I know PA is close kansasobama Sep 7 #14

who is the guy who does all the election night results on msnbc orleans Sep 7 #16

Steve Kornacki House of Roberts Sep 7 #19

oh thanks -- i like him. and his name rings a bell. i admire his energy! lol. nt orleans Sep 7 #20

I like his energy and enthusiasm, too. ShazzieB Sep 7 #42

The guy with the khakis? Alliepoo Sep 7 #21

A fair amount of chatter about how Nate Silver has his own real gambling problem. erronis Sep 7 #17

Interesting. Thanks. yardwork Sep 7 #31

Just to highlight this Salviati Sep 7 #35

Looks like Nate learned the art of projection from Trump Mr.WeRP Sep 7 #18

Around 2020, Nate Silver started turning into a bit of a contrarian troll. TRHST82 Sep 7 #22

Thiel pays his paycheck obamanut2012 Sep 7 #25

Nate Silver gets his paychecks from Peter Thiel. dalton99a Sep 7 #26

He pro-Biden'd skewed after the GOP convention too ColinC Sep 7 #28

After this, he has proven himself to be nothing but a shill for Trump and the right wing. Wiz Imp Sep 7 #29

Silver is just ONE example of a crystal ball gazer bought and paid for by the gqp and their supporters. PortTack Sep 7 #30

We pay way too much attention to these celebrities. yardwork Sep 7 #32

Also, the article doesn't mention this, but Silver has been making an "adjustment" pnwmom Sep 7 #34

The Daily Kos had a Nate Silver 538 interactive banner at the top of their front page for at least a decade ArkansasDemocrat1 Sep 7 #36

thanks for posting - this calms me down a lot lanlady Sep 7 #38

He was shown the door from 538 after his 2022 polling fiasco BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #41

Thanks for repeating that information. Things get lost in the firehoses! erronis Sep 7 #43

i never did like statistics . a friend of mine called them sadistic. AllaN01Bear Sep 7 #40

They're pretty good for helping tell lies, tho. erronis Sep 7 #44

they sure are . AllaN01Bear Sep 7 #46

What's the old adage? BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #47

That was the first thing my psych statistics instructor at ATU said on the first day ArkansasDemocrat1 Sep 7 #50

I was one course short of having a Math minor BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #52

So I guess we could say,... Woodycall Sep 7 #45

When TSF loses in November he will point to these polls kellytore Sep 7 #48

Wouldn't most pollsters have to... Mike Nelson Sep 7 #51

The gerrymandering wouldn't impact a state-wide (including an Electoral College-deciding) vote BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #53

Nate Silver had a sudden change in behavior... Mr. Mustard 2023 Sep 8 #55

Just saw a popup from News-weak on my MSN widget how Trump is now leading geardaddy Sep 9 #56