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pnwmom

(109,505 posts)

34. Also, the article doesn't mention this, but Silver has been making an "adjustment"

Sat Sep 7, 2024, 10:26 AM

Sep 7

to his prediction for November to cancel out the current convention bounce.

However, there was no convention bounce, so he must be canceling out part of Harris's rise before the convention, just after she won the nomination. But he says that he will stop applying the "adjustment" after some number of days that he judges to be the bounce period.

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Nate Silver faces backlash for pro-Trump model skewing [View all] BumRushDaShow Sep 7 OP

Can't help but wonder if silver is cashing checks labeled in rubles JT45242 Sep 7 #1

TSF has already been caught paying for a favorable poll gab13by13 Sep 7 #5

Is he paying, or his rich Russian benefactor paying? 4lbs Sep 7 #12

It is simpler than that Trenzalore Sep 7 #6

This! liberalla Sep 7 #37

Thanks did not know that connection and ... JT45242 Sep 7 #39

He is literally Peter Thiel's guy obamanut2012 Sep 7 #24

Oh, that explains all zorbasd Sep 7 #33

Probably laundered by Peter Thiel. ananda Sep 7 #27

Follow the money... Docreed2003 Sep 7 #2

I somehow missed his Peter Thiel connection. marble falls Sep 7 #9

Silver works for Thiel's startup Docreed2003 Sep 7 #10

Conflict! We doan see no stinkin conflict of interests! marble falls Sep 7 #11

Seems like he's pissing off his fellow pollsters... Think. Again. Sep 7 #3

Silver may be snorting his own stash PJMcK Sep 7 #4

But .. but .. but .. Nate Silver walks on water! I don't trust polls til after the Conventions and then with some salt. marble falls Sep 7 #7

Not enough Sodium Chloride on the planet to make me trust polls like I did back in the 90s ArkansasDemocrat1 Sep 7 #49

Your instincts are still correct today. The attention so many pay to them is shocking. marble falls Sep 7 #54

OP link is wrong thesquanderer Sep 7 #8

Thanks BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #23

He and Mark Halperin are doing the same thing kansasobama Sep 7 #13

Mark Halperin, a long time ago, used to be someone I'd listen to. erronis Sep 7 #15

I know PA is close kansasobama Sep 7 #14

who is the guy who does all the election night results on msnbc orleans Sep 7 #16

Steve Kornacki House of Roberts Sep 7 #19

oh thanks -- i like him. and his name rings a bell. i admire his energy! lol. nt orleans Sep 7 #20

I like his energy and enthusiasm, too. ShazzieB Sep 7 #42

The guy with the khakis? Alliepoo Sep 7 #21

A fair amount of chatter about how Nate Silver has his own real gambling problem. erronis Sep 7 #17

Interesting. Thanks. yardwork Sep 7 #31

Just to highlight this Salviati Sep 7 #35

Looks like Nate learned the art of projection from Trump Mr.WeRP Sep 7 #18

Around 2020, Nate Silver started turning into a bit of a contrarian troll. TRHST82 Sep 7 #22

Thiel pays his paycheck obamanut2012 Sep 7 #25

Nate Silver gets his paychecks from Peter Thiel. dalton99a Sep 7 #26

He pro-Biden'd skewed after the GOP convention too ColinC Sep 7 #28

After this, he has proven himself to be nothing but a shill for Trump and the right wing. Wiz Imp Sep 7 #29

Silver is just ONE example of a crystal ball gazer bought and paid for by the gqp and their supporters. PortTack Sep 7 #30

We pay way too much attention to these celebrities. yardwork Sep 7 #32

Also, the article doesn't mention this, but Silver has been making an "adjustment" pnwmom Sep 7 #34

The Daily Kos had a Nate Silver 538 interactive banner at the top of their front page for at least a decade ArkansasDemocrat1 Sep 7 #36

thanks for posting - this calms me down a lot lanlady Sep 7 #38

He was shown the door from 538 after his 2022 polling fiasco BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #41

Thanks for repeating that information. Things get lost in the firehoses! erronis Sep 7 #43

i never did like statistics . a friend of mine called them sadistic. AllaN01Bear Sep 7 #40

They're pretty good for helping tell lies, tho. erronis Sep 7 #44

they sure are . AllaN01Bear Sep 7 #46

What's the old adage? BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #47

That was the first thing my psych statistics instructor at ATU said on the first day ArkansasDemocrat1 Sep 7 #50

I was one course short of having a Math minor BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #52

So I guess we could say,... Woodycall Sep 7 #45

When TSF loses in November he will point to these polls kellytore Sep 7 #48

Wouldn't most pollsters have to... Mike Nelson Sep 7 #51

The gerrymandering wouldn't impact a state-wide (including an Electoral College-deciding) vote BumRushDaShow Sep 7 #53

Nate Silver had a sudden change in behavior... Mr. Mustard 2023 Sep 8 #55

Just saw a popup from News-weak on my MSN widget how Trump is now leading geardaddy Sep 9 #56