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waterwatcher123

(278 posts)
3. This climate risk modeling scenario is not very helpful.
Tue Oct 15, 2024, 01:22 PM
Oct 15

There are no climate havens anywhere in the world. Some places might be more exposed and at risk for hurricanes and sea level rise. But, climate change is such a complex problem that it impacts the entire planet. For instance, an unstable jet stream or the loss of the trade winds can have catastrophic effects on any place in the world. It can mean the difference between drought and deluge, agricultural losses, fires and long periods of smoke-filled un-breathable air. We need to lose the term climate refuge just like the term climate mitigation was used previously (again, to justify the status quo). We cannot move away from this problem and go on with life. No one would have imagined that a single storm event would dump 22 inches of rain on western North Carolina. The re-occurrence interval used by hydrologists and climate scientists uses past data to explain the likelihood of a future event. This concept is no longer tenable when statistically extreme events are of becoming the norm.

We need the equivalent of a Manhattan style project to focus on a myriad of actions to address climate change. Climate change has always been a challenge to address because it is supposedly something that can be put off. Well, the future is here and even the best efforts to date are woefully inadequate in the face of this planetary crisis.

Recommendations

4 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

High climate risk here. Primarily for hurricanes. Solly Mack Oct 15 #1
Nothing High or Very High, here in San Diego County ... aggiesal Oct 15 #2
A fire watch alert goes into effect tomorrow for my parish. Though the risk is low, wildfires are not unheard of here. Solly Mack Oct 15 #5
Another San Diegan here! sdfernando Oct 15 #9
This climate risk modeling scenario is not very helpful. waterwatcher123 Oct 15 #3
It is a global phenomenon Cirsium Oct 15 #4
My county is still pretty chill most of the time, so my personal concern Grokenstein Oct 15 #6
I find it odd that they don't include tornadoes. chowder66 Oct 15 #7
It gave Bexar County medium risk for hurricanes, but we've only gotten tropical storms here. LeftInTX Oct 15 #8
But with Climate Change, could that change the risk from low to High or Very High? ... aggiesal Oct 15 #14
No. We're too far west of the water here. We're also at almost 1,000 ft elevation . LeftInTX Oct 15 #17
I understand what you're saying, but North & South Carolina were miles away from water, ... aggiesal Oct 15 #19
They are over the gulf. (north of the gulf) We are west of the the gulf. Moisture flows north and east LeftInTX Oct 15 #20
My brother lives in San Antonio and he tells us all the time ... aggiesal Oct 15 #22
No! That's not true at all. LeftInTX Oct 15 #23
Risk in my area is fire sakabatou Oct 15 #10
The title is misleading. It is entirely focused on the State of Florida, and mentions nowhere else. Martin68 Oct 15 #11
Type in the name of your County - anywhere in the USA FakeNoose Oct 15 #12
Doesn't include where I live, Albemarle County, Virginia. Martin68 Oct 15 #18
You have to enter the County you live in to get anything other than Florida n/t aggiesal Oct 15 #15
First Street does what I'd consider better risk assessment, and you can see changes over time. LauraInLA Oct 15 #13
Thanks for the link LibinMo Oct 15 #16
My County has a Very Low risk pfitz59 Oct 15 #21
Dakota County Minnesota: very low risk NickB79 Oct 16 #24
Risks mostly very low for my county. A few low risks Kaleva Oct 16 #25
In King Co. WA Very Low Risk, except Inland Flooding Metaphorical Oct 16 #26
Up Until A Couple of Weeks Ago Deep State Witch Oct 16 #27
Not everybody thought so Kaleva Oct 16 #28
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