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bcoley

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34. Another native Iowan's view

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 01:24 AM

Nov 3

I was shocked . . . and in party mode . . . when I first heard about the new Des Moines Register poll. It's a well-respected poll about which the Iowa GOP leadership howled loudly Saturday night.

Interestingly, the Emerson Poll, out of Emerson College in Boston, also released a poll about Iowa on Saturday, but that poll showed Trump with a ten point lead. Both polls had an ~800 person sample size, but the Iowa Poll limited its review to Iowans who either had already voted or who definitely planned to vote. Perhaps the Emerson poll didn't filter for the likelihood of participants' voting?

The Iowa Poll has a recent history of being within 1-3 points of the final margin in presidential, senatorial, and gubernatorial elections. Until they're proven wrong this election, I'm trusting (and smiling about) it.

p.s. If you want the details about the Iowa Poll, here's a link to the story on the Des Moines Register's website:

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

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Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. [View all] usregimechange Nov 2 OP

Wait WHAT holy shit arlyellowdog Nov 2 #1

That would be quite a blow to Trump. Gov Walz was a genius pick. bucolic_frolic Nov 2 #2

Invest In Ketchup Stock! smb Nov 2 #29

So hope that will translate into many down ballot victories! rurallib Nov 2 #3

Well Traildogbob Nov 2 #4

HOLY CRAP! Gaytano70 Nov 2 #5

Wow! SunSeeker Nov 2 #6

Iowa would be a bit of a shock. TwilightZone Nov 2 #7

This poll is very well respected, it will... usregimechange Nov 2 #8

And Harris hasn't made one appearance in the Iowa. SharonClark Nov 2 #9

I'm in MO I might attend! usregimechange Nov 2 #11

Oh, my! Doodles Nov 2 #10

Oh Yes! germanparlor Nov 2 #12

WOW and then WOW BittyJenkins Nov 2 #13

Kick dalton99a Nov 2 #14

It'd in the margin of error....but, we'll take it.. Woohoo! iluvtennis Nov 2 #15

GANBATTE KUDASAI KAMALA SAMA YoshidaYui Nov 2 #16

:-) Lemon Lyman Nov 2 #17

Wouldn't that be delicious! moose65 Nov 2 #18

And Florida. Could be called Tuesday night. 💥 rubbersole Nov 2 #21

it looks like everyone who was thinking "someone else", broke to Harris in Iowa cadoman Nov 2 #19

:-) Lemon Lyman Nov 2 #20

The Des Moines Register, considered the "gold standard" of polling in Iowa. lees1975 Nov 2 #22

If this poll is accurate, Democrats are looking at a decisive EC win. valleyrogue Nov 2 #23

This poll, unlike the media polls, are not under the influence of the billionaires. lees1975 Nov 2 #25

I Have A Mental Image... smb Nov 2 #30

A few days ago, Chris Hayes had the guy who runs Deminpenn Nov 2 #33

Tell me again wryter2000 Nov 2 #24

We'll find out on Tuesday Polybius Nov 2 #28

The grandmother's are protecting the grand daughters rights to usaf-vet Nov 2 #26

Yes, we are Sugarcoated Nov 2 #31

Exactly. Blue_Roses Nov 3 #35

thats exactly what im doing.. My dtrs job moved her from Seattle to Alabama samnsara Nov 3 #40

We all have a niece that her husband's job took her to Alabama. She is teaching in a public school. Two danger issue.... usaf-vet Nov 3 #42

This message was self-deleted by its author Jack Valentino Nov 2 #27

As an Iowan JPPaverage Nov 2 #32

Another native Iowan's view bcoley Nov 3 #34

I Suspect She Does A More In-Depth Interview Process DallasNE Nov 3 #36

Iowa poll IowaUnionman Nov 3 #37

Sanity is prevailing. augyboston Nov 3 #38

i checked my phone at 1 am and saw this headline!I only have enough samnsara Nov 3 #39

Have a 20+ yrs long on line Iowan Dem acquaintence... electric_blue68 Nov 3 #41