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Rachel M at 6 pm

(138 posts)

1. Interesting that the only time he was "wrong" was in 2000

Reply to Wicked Blue (Original post)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 11:27 AM

Nov 2024

Lichtman is known for correctly predicting every election from 1984 through 2020, with the exception of Bush-Gore in 2000.

From Wikipedia:

"The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 Keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. ... The system is a thirteen-point checklist that uses true-or-false statements: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the nominee of the incumbent party is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the nominee of the challenging party is predicted to win."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

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IbogaProject byronius diane in sf

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Highlight:

The greatest presidential predictor has made his FINAL pick for Trump vs. Harris: Who will win? [View all] Wicked Blue Nov 2024 OP

Interesting that the only time he was "wrong" was in 2000 Rachel M at 6 pm Nov 2024 #1

so basically he has a perfect record. Native Nov 2024 #5

Yes, because Gore actually did win n/t TexasBushwhacker Nov 2024 #8

Indeed he does. dchill Nov 2024 #11

2000 was outright theft IbogaProject Nov 2024 #9

I had thought it was going to be the rooster in "Chicken Poop Bingo." LastLiberal in PalmSprings Nov 2024 #2

He made his prediction two months ago Polybius Nov 2024 #3

The article mentions that he made this prediction 2 months ago, and he is now saying he still stands by that prediction Native Nov 2024 #6

I understand that Polybius Nov 2024 #7

Because 2 months ago... Whatthe_Firetruck Nov 2024 #13

gotcha Native Nov 2024 #19

I've been watching Prof. Lichman's show on youtube. Very informative, so it's no surprise we're now seeing the surge for onetexan Nov 2024 #14

Yup, he's great Polybius Nov 2024 #16

Thanks for the link! EllieBC Nov 2024 #4

I hope this news doesn't convince any Harris-Walz supporters they don't need to bother actually VOTING. Beartracks Nov 2024 #10

Thank you for posting this. PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 2024 #12

Why would "The betting markets reportedly are rigged." KS Toronado Nov 2024 #15

Excellent angrychair Nov 2024 #17

OMG I hope he's right 🙏 🙏🙏🙏 TommieMommy Nov 2024 #18

As they say in the investing world, past performance is no guarantee of future results. LudwigPastorius Nov 2024 #20

Betting markets don't mean a fuck thing when it comes to the goddamn election. MAGA cowards are shitting the bed. SoFlaBro Nov 2024 #21