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Pototan

(2,273 posts)

16. The experts do not have only one way

Tue Dec 31, 2024, 07:56 AM

Dec 31

this can play out. It is not like McCarthy, as I have said. It is unprecedented and "gray", as the article describes.

My prediction is that we will never know which of us is correct. Here's my prediction of how this will play out.

About a dozen GOP House members will abstain or vote for another member or non-member on the first ballot. It may go 2 ballots, but then Johnson will get the needed votes, and they'll use the Trump inauguration as the reason (or excuse) to vote for Johnson. But as long as more than 9 members vote against Johnson on one of the ballots, it signals he's on a short leash, because 9 is the number needed to vote to vacate and once Trump is sworn in, there is no longer a reason (or excuse) to fall in line.

The votes on the budget, immigration, the debt ceiling and extending the tax cuts are going to be contentious. I can't see Johnson surviving all of those with a caucus that insists that the Speaker not deal with the Democrats.

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Pototan

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Highlight:

Mike Johnson holdouts persist after Trump endorsement [View all] BumRushDaShow Dec 30 OP

Musk disapproves..... Lovie777 Dec 30 #1

Only because "he" wants no problems certifying the election. Grins Dec 30 #2

But the SOH doesn't "certify" anything BumRushDaShow Dec 30 #3

The point is that the House can't Pototan Dec 30 #6

That's what I thought Polybius Dec 30 #7

Did you forget what happened the last time? BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #9

That has nothing to do with my post Polybius Dec 31 #20

But there was NO speaker on January 3rd, 2021 BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #21

Ahh, didn't know that Polybius Dec 31 #22

Oh there were people who protested Pelosi in Jan. 2019 after the 2018 election BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #24

Thank you for all the great info Polybius Jan 1 #25

Thank you! Forgot about Bobo BumRushDaShow Jan 1 #27

This message was self-deleted by its author Polybius Dec 31 #23

There was. Pelosi was Speaker. Grins Jan 8 #28

The House was "doing (limited) business" BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #8

That's a different set of circumstances Pototan Dec 31 #10

It's not "different" BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #11

I'm sorry. You're mistaken Pototan Dec 31 #12

I'm waiting for you link to something that justifies your assertions BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #13

The link is ambiguous at best Pototan Dec 31 #14

And I keep "Roll Call" (that also publishes the Congressional Quarterly) BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #15

The experts do not have only one way Pototan Dec 31 #16

Directly from the article that you linked of "Roll Call" BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #17

Look, I'm sorry, but Pototan Dec 31 #18

I know where you are BumRushDaShow Dec 31 #19

I hope they eat each other alive. Raw. Ewww. Evolve Dammit Dec 30 #4

This message was self-deleted by its author Terry_M Dec 30 #5

As weird as this has become. 1/3 of the government depend on Massie and Chip Roy underpants Jan 1 #26