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The first Trump administration saw a flood of retirements because we had just seen eight strong years of Obama (the first two with a sizable Democratic majority in the Senate) that ended with a Republican senate blocking appointments. Blue judges expected Hillary to win and Democrats to retake the senate... yet it didn't happen. Many of them just tried to hold on for four more years... and thus there were a flood of openings for Biden to fill... just as there had been a flood of Republicans to replace when Trump suprisingly won.

That well has been tapped out. It isn't a surprise because there isn't much of a backlog of red judges looking to retire. The good news is that there shouldn't be any blue judges left absent health issues except the handful who retracted their retirement when Trump won.

The next driver will be next Spring if it looks like we have a chance of retaking the Senate (I don't think they fear that right now). Absent that, they'll next guess what chances republicans have in 2028. But I doubt there are many (if any) who will hold out if it looks like a blue senate and a progressive president.